Match Info
Serie D - Round 9Date: 14 June 2025, SaturdayLocation: Estadio Janio Moraes (Rio de Janeiro)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Nova Iguaçu |
|
Rio Branco AC ES |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2 |
3.2 |
3.25 |
|
 |
1.98 |
3.05 |
3.76 |
|
 |
|
|
|
 Watch |
 |
1.98 |
3.08 |
3.72 |
|
 |
2.2 |
3.15 |
2.95 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↓
(2.53) |
3.12 ↓
(3.14) |
3.42 ↑
(2.53) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Nova Iguaçu
44.4% | Draw
29.1% | Rio Branco AC ES
26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nova Iguaçu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nova Iguaçu's performance.Rio Branco AC ES has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rio Branco AC ES might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nova Iguaçu that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Branco AC ES than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rio Branco AC ES could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Nova Iguaçu - Rio Branco AC ES Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).Both teams have been playing unpredictably.Nova Iguaçu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Nova Iguaçu is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nova Iguaçu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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