Match Info

Date: 18 July 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Rio Branco-VN		Caldense

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Rio Branco-VN
28.9%

Draw
27.9%

Caldense
43.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.5%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

20.4%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Branco-VN has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Caldense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Branco-VN than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rio Branco-VN that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caldense than the current prediction. (+15.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caldense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Recent matches Rio Branco-VN is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Caldense is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rio Branco-VN could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Caldense will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Branco-VN
Brazilian Serie D
11.07.21	Uberlândia - Rio Branco-VN	2:1 ✺
04.07.21	Rio Branco-VN - Rio Branco AC ES	0:0 ✺
27.06.21	Águia Negra - Rio Branco-VN	2:2 ✺
19.06.21	Ferroviária - Rio Branco-VN	1:0 ✺
13.06.21	Rio Branco-VN - Boa Esporte	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTTLW
- AA Caldense
Brazilian Serie D
10.07.21	Caldense - Águia Negra	6:2 ✺
05.07.21	Patrocinense - Caldense	2:3 ✺
26.06.21	Caldense - Uberlândia	3:1 ✺
20.06.21	Boa Esporte - Caldense	1:1 ✺
13.06.21	Caldense - Ferroviária	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWTL

Rio Branco-VN - Caldense