Match Info

Capixaba - Round 9

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Estádio Olímpio Perim (Venda Nova do Imigrante)


	Rio Branco-VN		Rio Branco AC ES

	1	X	2
	4.17	3.06	1.9	Watch
	4.2	2.75	1.95
	4.51	2.98	1.84
	4.33	3	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.3 ↑ (4.15)	2.95 ↓ (3.09)	1.89 (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Branco-VN
21.1%

Draw
30.8%

Rio Branco AC ES
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

29.6%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

29.2%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Branco-VN has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Rio Branco AC ES has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Branco-VN than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Branco AC ES than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Rio Branco VN - Rio Branco AC ES Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Rodolfo (G) 21. Bruno 13. Caldeira I. 3. Douglas Zielke 9. Guilherme Teixeira 5. Jackson 2. Jair Junior 20. Juninho Silva 26. Leozidio 10. Rafael Sayao 27. Vitinho	12. Allan Camilatto (G) 26. Breninho 4. Darlan Santos 7. David Lopes 99. Edu (C) 11. Gui Mendes 3. Matheus Mega 5. Pato G. 8. Ribeiro E. 2. Ronaldo 16. Thainler
Substitutes
4. Diego Augusto 1. Gagno Nodare E. (G) 18. Leo Ferraz 28. Mineiro J. 19. Victor Hugo 14. Wendell	35. Alisson Farias 10. Allison 17. Andreson F. 15. Carlinhos 6. Daniel Boaz 30. Flavinho 18. Inacio 13. Iverson 14. Matheus Castelo 9. Neto Oliveira 19. Rafael 22. Victor Braga

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Capixaba 2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Rio Branco-VN is Relegated to Capixaba 2

Rio Branco AC ES is Qualified for Capixaba (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rio Branco-VN won 1.

Rio Branco-VN is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Rio Branco AC ES has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Rio Branco AC ES is the team to beat.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Rio Branco-VN won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Rio Branco-VN won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Branco-VN
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
07.02.26	Vitória ES - Rio Branco-VN	3:0 ✺
03.02.26	Rio Branco-VN - Vilavelhense	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Serra - Rio Branco-VN	1:0 ✺
28.01.26	Porto Vitória - Rio Branco-VN	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	Rio Branco-VN - Forte Rio Bananal	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLTT
- Rio Branco AC ES
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
07.02.26	Rio Branco AC ES - Forte Rio Bananal	0:0 ✺
04.02.26	Capixaba SC - Rio Branco AC ES	0:2 ✺
01.02.26	Rio Branco AC ES - Noroeste	0:1 ✺
27.01.26	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Rio Branco AC ES	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Rio Branco AC ES - Porto Vitória	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
22.04.25	Rio Branco AC ES - Rio Branco-VN	4:1
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
02.02.25	Rio Branco AC ES - Rio Branco-VN	0:0
13.04.24	Rio Branco AC ES - Rio Branco-VN	1:1 penalties
07.04.24	Rio Branco-VN - Rio Branco AC ES	1:2
03.02.24	Rio Branco AC ES - Rio Branco-VN	1:0
05.03.22	Rio Branco AC ES - Rio Branco-VN	3:2
Brazilian Serie D
08.08.21	Rio Branco AC ES - Rio Branco-VN	0:3

Rio Branco-VN - Rio Branco AC ES: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide