Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA PAULISTA - ROUND 1

Date: 4 July 2023, Tuesday


	Piracicaba		Ponte Preta

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.4	5
	1.62	3.25	5.5
	1.73	3.25	5.22
	1.67	3.2	5
	1.7	3.34	5.05	Watch
	1.66	3.45	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (2.1)	3.32 ↑ (3.03)	5.1 ↑ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Piracicaba
54.6%

Draw
27.5%

Ponte Preta
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

30.3%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

30.4%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piracicaba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Piracicaba's performance.

Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ponte Preta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piracicaba than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Piracicaba that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ponte Preta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Piracicaba - Ponte Preta Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Piracicaba will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Ponte Preta will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Piracicaba won 2.

Piracicaba has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ponte Preta is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ponte Preta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Piracicaba is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Piracicaba won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Piracicaba won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- XV de Piracicaba
Brazilian Serie D
01.07.23	Ferroviária - Piracicaba	4:2 ✺
24.06.23	Piracicaba - Internacional de Limeira	0:1 ✺
18.06.23	FC Cascavel - Piracicaba	2:1 ✺
14.06.23	Piracicaba - Patrocinense	1:1 ✺
10.06.23	Patrocinense - Piracicaba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL
- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Serie B
02.07.23	Ponte Preta - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 ✺
28.06.23	Ituano - Ponte Preta	0:1 ✺
23.06.23	Atlético Goianiense - Ponte Preta	1:0 ✺
11.06.23	Ponte Preta - Sport Recife	1:1 ✺
06.06.23	Ponte Preta - ABC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
01.04.23	Ponte Preta - Piracicaba	2:0
25.03.23	Piracicaba - Ponte Preta	0:3
21.01.23	Piracicaba - Ponte Preta	1:2
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
05.03.16	Ponte Preta - Piracicaba	0:1
29.03.15	Piracicaba - Ponte Preta	1:0
30.01.14	Piracicaba - Ponte Preta	4:1
30.03.13	Piracicaba - Ponte Preta	2:2

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