The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Riostrense 21.8%
Draw 26.1%
Santa Cruz RJ 52.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.8%
24.1%
37.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.5%
24.6%
36.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Riostrense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Riostrense's form might have worsened.
Santa Cruz RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santa Cruz RJ's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riostrense than the current prediction. (+17.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Riostrense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz RJ than the current prediction. (-15.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santa Cruz RJ, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Riostrense - Santa Cruz RJ Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
69', 0 - 2, ⚽,
71', 1 - 2, ⚽,
79', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
1st leg.
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca C (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca C (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In recent matches, Riostrense has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Santa Cruz RJ is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Riostrense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4.
Watch
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