Match Info

Date: 27 March 2022, Sunday


	River Ebro		Alfaro

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.7	1.57
	5	3.5	1.55
	5.33	3.55	1.56
	5.25	3.5	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.1 ↑ (4.92)	3.56 ↑ (3.38)	1.58 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Ebro
17.7%

Draw
25.2%

Alfaro
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.6%

25.7%

56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.9%

24.6%

59.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Ebro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Alfaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Ebro than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

River Ebro has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Alfaro is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Alfaro is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches River Ebro won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA River Ebro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
20.03.22	Cenicero - River Ebro	0:0 ✺
13.03.22	River Ebro - Arnedo	0:2 ✺
06.03.22	Berceo - River Ebro	4:1 ✺
26.02.22	River Ebro - Varea	1:2 ✺
20.02.22	Haro Deportivo - River Ebro	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL
- CD Alfaro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
20.03.22	Alfaro - Anguiano	2:2 ✺
13.03.22	Casalarreina - Alfaro	0:1 ✺
06.03.22	Alfaro - Vianés	3:0 ✺
26.02.22	Agoncillo - Alfaro	0:1 ✺
20.02.22	Alfaro - Yagüe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
14.11.21	Alfaro - River Ebro	2:0

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