Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 16 - ROUND 16

Date: 15 January 2023, Sunday


	River Ebro		Yagüe

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.6	4.75
	1.62	3.4	4.2
	1.59	3.6	4.4
	1.52	3.83	5.13
	1.67	3.7	4.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.57)	3.63 ↑ (3.51)	4.6 ↑ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Ebro
56%

Draw
24.6%

Yagüe
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

24.7%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

21.8%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Ebro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Yagüe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Ebro than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with River Ebro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yagüe than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

River Ebro - Yagüe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches River Ebro won 4.

River Ebro is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Yagüe has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match River Ebro is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches River Ebro won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-11.

Including matches at home between the teams River Ebro won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA River Ebro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
08.01.23	River Ebro - Haro Deportivo	1:0 ✺
18.12.22	La Calzada - River Ebro	4:2 ✺
11.12.22	River Ebro - Berceo	3:4 ✺
04.12.22	River Ebro - Varea	0:1 ✺
27.11.22	Racing Rioja B - River Ebro	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLLL
- Yagüe CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
08.01.23	Racing Rioja B - Yagüe	5:2 ✺
17.12.22	Yagüe - Anguiano	1:1 ✺
11.12.22	Agoncillo - Yagüe	1:0 ✺
04.12.22	Yagüe - Peña Balsamaiso	0:3 ✺
27.11.22	Casalarreina - Yagüe	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
10.09.22	Yagüe - River Ebro	1:2
01.05.22	Yagüe - River Ebro	2:3
09.01.22	River Ebro - Yagüe	1:0
16.01.21	Yagüe - River Ebro	3:2
19.01.20	River Ebro - Yagüe	3:0
31.08.19	Yagüe - River Ebro	2:3
24.11.18	Yagüe - River Ebro	3:1

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