Match Info

Primera A Women - Apertura - Round 17

Date: 23 May 2025, Friday


	River Plate		Vélez Sársfield

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.75	7.75
	1.29	4.7	8.6
	1.3	5.11	10.02
	1.29	4.84	9.14
	1.44	3.75	7
	1.34	5.01	7.52
	1.29	4.7	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.45)	4.69 ↑ (3.95)	8.38 ↑ (7.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate
69.5%

Draw
19.6%

Vélez Sársfield
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

23.4%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

22.3%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in River Plate's performance.

Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

River Plate - Vélez Sársfield Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Altgelt F. ⚽,
28', 2 - 0, Birizamberri C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
65', 3 - 0, Pereyra M. ⚽,
69', 3 - 1, Banegas A. ⚽,
70', 4 - 1, Lopez L. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 15).

River Plate is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Vélez's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, River Plate is seen as the favorite.

We predict that River Plate will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate Women
Argentinian Primera A Women
19.05.25	Independiente - River Plate	1:3 ✺
12.05.25	River Plate - Platense	3:2 ✺
07.05.25	San Luis - River Plate	1:0 ✺
02.05.25	River Plate - Social Atlético Televisión	1:0 ✺
28.04.25	San Lorenzo de Almagro - River Plate	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWLWW
- Vélez Sársfield Women
Argentinian Primera A Women
19.05.25	Vélez Sársfield - Talleres de Córdoba	0:2 ✺
13.05.25	Newells Old Boys - Vélez Sársfield	5:1 ✺
07.05.25	Vélez Sársfield - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:1 ✺
02.05.25	Racing - Vélez Sársfield	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	Vélez Sársfield - Banfield	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLTTL

River Plate - Vélez Sársfield: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide