Match Info

Primera A Women - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 2 May 2025, Friday


	Racing		Vélez Sársfield

	1	X	2
	1.25	5	9.25
	1.25	5	10
	1.28	4.9	10.56
	1.26	4.98	10.54
	1.23	5.25	10.4
	1.25	5	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.53)	5.02 ↑ (3.82)	10.13 ↑ (5.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing
72.8%

Draw
18.2%

Vélez Sársfield
9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

23.9%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

23.2%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Racing's performance.

Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vélez Sársfield might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Racing that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vélez Sársfield could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Racing - Vélez Sársfield Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Ramirez S. (Pen),
34', 1 - 1, Estigarribia E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 15).

Racing is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vélez's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Racing is the obvious favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club de Avellaneda Women
Argentinian Primera A Women
25.04.25	Independiente - Racing	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Racing - Platense	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	San Luis - Racing	1:2 ✺
28.03.25	Racing - Social Atlético Televisión	0:0 ✺
23.03.25	San Lorenzo de Almagro - Racing	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TWWTT
- Vélez Sársfield Women
Argentinian Primera A Women
26.04.25	Vélez Sársfield - Banfield	0:1 ✺
19.04.25	Gimnasia La Plata - Vélez Sársfield	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Vélez Sársfield - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Boca Juniors - Vélez Sársfield	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	Vélez Sársfield - Belgrano	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWLL

Racing - Vélez Sársfield: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide