Match Info

ARGENTINA: Reserve League - First stage - Round 12

Date: 15 May 2024, Wednesday


	River Plate 2		Banfield 2

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.2	3.8
	1.83	3.3	4	Watch
	1.87	3.28	4.38
	1.85	3.28	4.39
	1.79	3.39	4.38
	1.83	3.3	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.68)	3.29 ↓ (3.52)	4.16 ↓ (4.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate 2
50.1%

Draw
27.9%

Banfield 2
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

26.2%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

25.3%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Banfield 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate 2 than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for River Plate 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Banfield 2 than the current prediction. (-4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Roldan M. ⚽,
35', Rimbelitti A. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 0 - 2, ⚽,
61', 1 - 2, Gonzalez A. ⚽,
72', 🟥,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (First stage ~ Play Offs: ) and 5).

River Plate 2 in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Banfield 2 is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

River Plate 2 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match River Plate 2 is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches River Plate 2 won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams River Plate 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate 2
Argentinian Reserve League
08.05.24	Deportivo Riestra 2 - River Plate 2	0:1 ✺
25.04.24	River Plate 2 - Instituto 2	1:0 ✺
18.04.24	Argentinos Juniors 2 - River Plate 2	0:1 ✺
10.04.24	River Plate 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	4:1 ✺
04.04.24	River Plate 2 - Boca Juniors 2	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWWW
- Banfield 2
Argentinian Reserve League
07.05.24	Banfield 2 - San Lorenzo 2	1:1 ✺
23.04.24	Racing Club 2 - Banfield 2	0:0 ✺
17.04.24	Banfield 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:0 ✺
11.04.24	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Banfield 2	0:0 ✺
02.04.24	Lanús 2 - Banfield 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
13.09.23	River Plate 2 - Banfield 2	0:2
09.06.23	River Plate 2 - Banfield 2	0:2
15.09.22	Banfield 2 - River Plate 2	0:1
14.04.22	Banfield 2 - River Plate 2	2:3

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