Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 17

Date: 9 June 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2, LPF Play


	River Plate 2		Rosario Central 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.93	3.25	3.40
	1.95	3.25	3.45	Watch
	2.01	3.33	3.77
	2.03	3.18	3.57	Watch
	1.95	3	3.4
	1.94	3.22	3.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.1)	3.21 ↓ (3.22)	3.54 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate 2
46.1%

Draw
28.3%

Rosario Central 2
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

28.6%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

28.3%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Rosario Central 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate 2 than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central 2 than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

River Plate 2 - Rosario Central 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
69', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, River Plate 2 won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

River Plate 2 might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, River Plate 2 won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, River Plate 2 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate 2
Argentinian Reserve League
02.06.26	Tigre 2 - River Plate 2	0:2 ✺
28.05.26	River Plate 2 - San Lorenzo 2	1:1 ✺
21.05.26	Vélez Sársfield 2 - River Plate 2	1:0 ✺
14.05.26	River Plate 2 - Instituto 2	1:0 ✺
05.05.26	River Plate 2 - Racing Club 2	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WTLWT
- Rosario Central 2
Argentinian Reserve League
03.06.26	Rosario Central 2 - Racing Club 2	3:0 ✺
28.05.26	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Rosario Central 2	0:2 ✺
20.05.26	Rosario Central 2 - Argentinos Juniors 2	1:2 ✺
12.05.26	Aldosivi 2 - Rosario Central 2	1:0 ✺
06.05.26	Rosario Central 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
23.09.25	Rosario Central 2 - River Plate 2	2:2
22.04.25	River Plate 2 - Rosario Central 2	1:4
28.11.24	River Plate 2 - Rosario Central 2	2:0
01.11.24	Rosario Central 2 - River Plate 2	0:2
29.05.24	River Plate 2 - Rosario Central 2	1:1
31.10.23	River Plate 2 - Rosario Central 2	0:1
19.07.23	River Plate 2 - Rosario Central 2	3:0

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