Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 16

Date: 2 June 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, LPF Play


	Tigre 2		River Plate 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.65	3.35	1.85	Watch
	3.75	3.55	1.9
	3.8	3.41	1.89	Watch
	3.8	3.1	1.85
	4	3.38	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↓ (4.44)	3.36 ↑ (3.35)	1.86 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tigre 2
23.9%

Draw
27.1%

River Plate 2
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

27.5%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

27%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tigre 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

River Plate 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigre 2 than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate 2 than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Tigre 2 - River Plate 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
74', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 9).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, River Plate 2 is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tigre 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

River Plate 2 - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 51.75%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tigre 2
Argentinian Reserve League
26.05.26	Racing Club 2 - Tigre 2	2:1 ✺
20.05.26	Tigre 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	1:3 ✺
13.05.26	Argentinos Juniors 2 - Tigre 2	2:0 ✺
07.05.26	Tigre 2 - Aldosivi 2	2:1 ✺
28.04.26	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Tigre 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLLWW
- River Plate 2
Argentinian Reserve League
28.05.26	River Plate 2 - San Lorenzo 2	1:1 ✺
21.05.26	Vélez Sársfield 2 - River Plate 2	1:0 ✺
14.05.26	River Plate 2 - Instituto 2	1:0 ✺
05.05.26	River Plate 2 - Racing Club 2	2:2 ✺
28.04.26	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - River Plate 2	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
13.11.25	River Plate 2 - Tigre 2	4:0
19.02.23	River Plate 2 - Tigre 2	1:0
28.08.22	River Plate 2 - Tigre 2	0:2

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