Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 - Round 21

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Robres		Casetas

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.1	4.65
	1.73	3.34	4.73
	1.73	3.34	4.76
	1.75	3.1	4.8
	1.7	3.25	4.86
	1.68	3.4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.7)	3.26 ↓ (3.32)	4.76 ↑ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Robres
52.9%

Draw
28%

Casetas
19.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.2%

27.3%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

28.5%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Robres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Casetas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Robres than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casetas than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Robres - Casetas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

(0 - 2)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent form of Robres has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Casetas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Robres may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Robres is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Robres won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Robres	8	0	3	5	8:18	-10	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Robres
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
24.01.26	Robres - Zuera	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Cariñena - Robres	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	La Almunia - Robres	0:0 ✺
03.01.26	Robres - Calamocha	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Robres - Épila	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLTLL
- UD Casetas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
01.02.26	Casetas - Zuera	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	La Almunia - Casetas	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Casetas - Épila	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Casetas - Belchite	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Andorra CF - Casetas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
28.09.25	Casetas - Robres	1:2
31.03.19	Casetas - Robres	1:1

Robres - Casetas