Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 4

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday


	Roda		Castellonense

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.1	2.38
	2.81	3.22	2.38
	2.76	3.06	2.38
	1.96	3.25	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (1.64)	3.16 ↓ (3.45)	2.69 ↓ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roda
36.2%

Draw
29.3%

Castellonense
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

26.4%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roda's form might have worsened.

Castellonense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castellonense's recent form is better than expected.

Roda - Castellonense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', 0 - 2, ⚽,
87', 🟥,
90+2', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Castellonense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Roda is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Roda won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Roda won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Roda
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
21.09.25	Ontinyent 1931 - Roda	1:2 ✺
12.09.25	Roda - Villarreal C	0:0 ✺
06.09.25	La Nucía - Roda	1:1 ✺
24.05.25	Roda - Utiel	0:0 ✺
18.05.25	Utiel - Roda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTTTL
- UD Castellonense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
21.09.25	Castellonense - Recambios Colón	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Torrellano - Castellonense	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Castellonense - Levante B	3:3 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
21.06.25	Burgos Promesas - Castellonense	2:0 penalties ✺
14.06.25	Castellonense - Burgos Promesas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
26.01.25	Castellonense - Roda	1:0
14.09.24	Roda - Castellonense	0:2
15.03.24	Castellonense - Roda	0:0
28.10.23	Roda - Castellonense	0:0

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