Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 17

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday


	Roda		Patacona

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.5	4.2
	1.82	3.2	4.2
	1.57	3.68	5.53
	1.73	4.03	4.14
	1.69	3.55	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.41)	3.59 ↓ (4.33)	4.49 ↓ (6.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roda
54%

Draw
25.5%

Patacona
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

21%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

20.4%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roda's form might have worsened.

Patacona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Patacona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roda than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patacona than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Patacona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Roda - Patacona Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Roda will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Patacona will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, ⚽,
17', 0 - 2, ⚽,
27', 1 - 2, El Jmili N. ⚽,
30', 2 - 2, Prera M. ⚽,
38', 3 - 2, El Jmili N. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 3 - 3, ⚽,
54', 4 - 3, Agudo I. ⚽,
64', 5 - 3, del Cura O. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Play Offs: ) and 14).

Roda is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Patacona is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Roda is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Roda won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 1.5:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Roda won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 2.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Roda
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
22.12.24	La Nucía - Roda	2:3 ✺
14.12.24	Roda - Rayo Ibense	2:0 ✺
06.12.24	Soneja - Roda	1:1 ✺
01.12.24	Roda - Castellon B	2:1 ✺
24.11.24	Torrellano - Roda	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWTWL
- Patacona CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
22.12.24	Patacona - Villarreal C	3:2 ✺
18.12.24	La Nucía - Patacona	3:0 ✺
14.12.24	Atzeneta - Patacona	0:1 ✺
06.12.24	Patacona - Español de San Vicente	1:2 ✺
30.11.24	Castellonense - Patacona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.9 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
09.03.24	Roda - Patacona	2:0
21.10.23	Patacona - Roda	0:1
16.04.23	Patacona - Roda	0:0
17.12.22	Roda - Patacona	3:1

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