Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 16

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Soneja		Roda

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.75	3.5
	2.18	2.82	3.4
	2.50	2.90	2.98	Watch
	2.2	2.7	3.5
	2.21	2.88	3.32
	2.16	2.83	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.1)	2.81 ↓ (2.9)	3.37 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Soneja
40.8%

Draw
32.3%

Roda
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

30.3%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

27.1%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Soneja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Soneja than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Soneja, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roda than the current prediction. (-2%)

Soneja - Roda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
80', 0 - 1, Tejon P. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Soneja is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Roda has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Roda has had a series of home games.

Soneja could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Soneja won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Soneja won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Roda	5	2	2	1	7:5	2	8
16	Soneja	5	1	1	3	5:9	-4	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Soneja
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
20.12.25	Recambios Colón - Soneja	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Soneja - Torrellano	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Levante B - Soneja	4:0 ✺
22.11.25	Soneja - Atzeneta	1:0 ✺
15.11.25	Hércules B - Soneja	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WWLWW
- CD Roda
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
20.12.25	Roda - Buñol	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Roda - Vall de Uxó	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Alzira - Roda	2:3 ✺
15.11.25	Roda - Español de San Vicente	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Roda - Atlético Saguntino	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
17.04.25	Roda - Soneja	0:0
06.12.24	Soneja - Roda	1:1
17.02.24	Soneja - Roda	1:0
30.09.23	Roda - Soneja	0:2

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