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Current Win Probability
Rodange 20.6%
Draw 22.3%
Mondorf-les-Bains 57.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
15.3%
21.2%
63.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14.8%
20.5%
65.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rodange has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rodange's performance.
Mondorf-les-Bains has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mondorf-les-Bains might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodange than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rodange that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mondorf-les-Bains than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mondorf-les-Bains could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Rodange - Mondorf les Bains Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Wolf H. (G) 18. Mbombo Y. 30. Messuwe M. 21. Montantin Y. (C) 2. Monteiro Lima G. 5. Mortas P. 8. Muzhaqi M. 3. Peprah W. 6. Rakic L. 9. Schur K. 16. Torres Y.
1. Machado J. (G) 23. Baal L. 8. Bourigeaud A. 19. Godart Y. 6. Knoepffler A. 29. Kumbi J. 7. Lopes S. 70. Matias Y. 77. Ouedraogo J. M. 66. Steinmetz C. 72. Tinelli L.
Substitutes
19. Amiri D. 10. Bojic F. 48. Caradonna L. 23. Civovic A. 7. Mendes B. C. 22. Taveira L. 1. Xerxa Cruz K. A. (G)
21. Agovic E. (G) 10. Cervellera Y. 14. Daham S. 9. Fournier L. 11. Issaka C. 18. Stoltz L. 31. Ubaldini A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Tinelli L. ⚽, Kumbi J. (A),
10', 0 - 2, Steinmetz C. ⚽, Bourigeaud A. (A),
30', 1 - 2, Mbombo Y. ⚽,
42', Baal L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 1 - 3, Kumbi J. ⚽,
54', Schur K. ↓, Mendes B. C. ↑,
54', Messuwe M. ↓, Amiri D. ↑,
57', Bourigeaud A. ↓, Fournier L. ↑,
57', Lopes S. ↓, Daham S. ↑,
63', Mendes B. C. 🟨,
64', Ouedraogo J. M. ↓, Ubaldini A. ↑,
68', Mortas P. ↓, Bojic F. ↑,
72', Amiri D. 🟨,
73', Mbombo Y. 🟨,
76', Tinelli L. ↓, Stoltz L. ↑,
76', Kumbi J. ↓, Issaka C. ↑,
76', 🟨,
86', Monteiro Lima G. ↓, Civovic A. ↑,
90+4', Muzhaqi M. 🟨,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rodange won 1.
Rodange has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Mondorf has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Mondorf may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Rodange has had a series of home games.
In this match, Mondorf is the team to beat.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Rodange won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:18. (average 0.6:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Rodange won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.6:1.7).