Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL 2 - Division A Silver - Fall Season - Round 12

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion Metallurg (Lipetsk)


	Metallurg Lipetsk		Torpedo Miass

	1	X	2
	5.43	3.54	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.43 ↓ (6.82)	3.54 ↓ (3.8)	1.58 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metallurg Lipetsk
16.7%

Draw
25.7%

Torpedo Miass
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.3%

23.9%

62.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.8%

23%

65.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metallurg Lipetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Torpedo Miass has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Torpedo Miass might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Lipetsk than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo Miass than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Torpedo Miass could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
74. Yavorski N. (G) 22. Bushuev D. 19. Glebov I. 14. Gordienko V. 91. Komar S. 23. Kononenko N. 27. Korotkikh I. 42. Lapshov I. 8. Pakhomov D. (C) 87. Roshchin A. 67. Tkachuk R.	27. Kovalev R. (G) 4. Adeniyi S. 14. Amelin A. 74. Kazimir M. 22. Kuzmin D. 5. Lopatko E. 62. Ofitserov M. 19. Pozdnyakov E. 23. Prutov D. (C) 77. Uljanovskiy V. 7. Zamyatin D.
Substitutes
66. Babayan R. 15. Elizarov M. 31. Gaiduk S. 17. Glukhov E. 4. Gorunkov N. 25. Khodeev P. 16. Kobzev A. (G) 18. Sazonov I.	70. Agakhanov A. 81. Bogiev B. (G) 49. Bykov V. 20. Maslennikov I. 18. Palkin V. 99. Rudnev M. 8. Serchenkov S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Pakhomov D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Kazimir M. ↓, Serchenkov S. ↑,
57', Korotkikh I. ↓, Gorunkov N. ↑,
57', Gordienko V. ↓, Gaiduk S. ↑,
57', Roshchin A. ↓, Glukhov E. ↑,
61', 0 - 1, Prutov D. ⚽,
63', Gorunkov N. 🟨,
64', Amelin A. 🟨,
69', Pozdnyakov E. ↓, Rudnev M. ↑,
70', Uljanovskiy V. ↓, Palkin V. ↑,
74', Bushuev D. ↓, Elizarov M. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Tkachuk R. ⚽,
82', Glebov I. ↓, Kiselev N. ↑,
84', Ofitserov M. ↓, Bykov V. ↑,
89', 1 - 2, Bykov V. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Metallurg Lipetsk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
29.09.24	Volga Ulyanovsk - Metallurg Lipetsk	1:1 ✺
21.09.24	Metallurg Lipetsk - Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk	0:1 ✺
13.09.24	Irtysh Omsk - Metallurg Lipetsk	1:1 ✺
08.09.24	Metallurg Lipetsk - Murom	2:3 ✺
31.08.24	Metallurg Lipetsk - Rodina Moscow 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TLTLL
- Torpedo Miass
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
29.09.24	Torpedo Miass - Dynamo Bryansk	2:1 ✺
21.09.24	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Torpedo Miass	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Volga Ulyanovsk - Torpedo Miass	1:1 ✺
07.09.24	Torpedo Miass - Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
03.09.24	Amkar Perm - Torpedo Miass	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
10.08.24	Torpedo Miass - Metallurg Lipetsk	1:0

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