Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 9

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday


	Rodina Moscow 3		Shumbrat Saransk

	1	X	2
	5.2	3.42	1.62
	5.66	3.6	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.43 ↑ (4.99)	3.51 ↑ (3.4)	1.56 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodina Moscow 3
16.6%

Draw
25.7%

Shumbrat Saransk
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.2%

26.7%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

26.5%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodina Moscow 3 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Shumbrat Saransk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow 3 than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shumbrat Saransk than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Rodina Moscow 3 - Shumbrat Saransk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Basyrov S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 5).

Rodina 3 is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Shumbrat has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Shumbrat is a strong favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	FK Shumbrat Saransk	26	13	5	8	46:35	11	44
8	Rodina Moscow 3	26	12	4	10	50:41	9	40

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodina Moscow 3
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
16.05.26	Spartak Tambov - Rodina Moscow 3	1:0 ✺
08.05.26	Rodina Moscow 3 - Avangard Kursk	2:3 ✺
02.05.26	Volna Kovernino - Rodina Moscow 3	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Rodina Moscow 3 - Ryazan	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Rotor 2 - Rodina Moscow 3	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLLTT
- FK Shumbrat Saransk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
16.05.26	Shumbrat Saransk - Metallurg Lipetsk	2:5 ✺
08.05.26	Zenit Penza - Shumbrat Saransk	1:3 ✺
02.05.26	Shumbrat Saransk - Arsenal 2 Tula	2:3 ✺
26.04.26	Strogino Moskva - Shumbrat Saransk	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Shumbrat Saransk - SKA Khabarovsk 2	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLWW

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