Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 20

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Rodina Moscow 3		Volna Kovernino

	1	X	2
	6.17	4.45	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.17 ↓ (7.16)	4.45 ↓ (4.9)	1.4 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodina Moscow 3
14.7%

Draw
20.4%

Volna Kovernino
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.8%

18.7%

68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.2%

17.9%

71.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodina Moscow 3 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Volna Kovernino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodina Moscow 3 than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volna Kovernino than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Volna Kovernino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rodina Moscow 3 - Volna Kovernino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Zabotkin M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+1', 1 - 1, Krol K. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

In recent matches, Rodina 3 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Volna Kovernino is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Rodina 3 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Volna Kovernino is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rodina 3 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Volna Nizhegorodskaya	26	20	2	4	50:17	33	62
8	Rodina Moscow 3	26	12	4	10	50:41	9	40

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodina Moscow 3
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
15.08.26	Ryazan - Rodina Moscow 3	3:0 ✺
08.08.26	Rodina Moscow 3 - Rotor 2	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Kvant Obninsk - Rodina Moscow 3	1:4 ✺
25.07.26	Rodina Moscow 3 - Salyut Belgorod	1:3 ✺
04.07.26	Rodina Moscow 3 - Saturn Ramenskoye	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWLT
- Volna Kovernino
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
15.08.26	Volna Kovernino - Metallurg Lipetsk	3:2 ✺
Russian Cup
12.08.26	Volna Kovernino - Tyumen	2:1 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
08.08.26	Zenit Penza - Volna Kovernino	0:2 ✺
01.08.26	Volna Kovernino - Arsenal 2 Tula	2:0 ✺
25.07.26	Strogino Moskva - Volna Kovernino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
02.05.26	Volna Kovernino - Rodina Moscow 3	2:0

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