Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 19

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Usa	12:00	SportsEngine Play


	Ryazan		Rodina Moscow 3

	1	X	2
	1.63	4	4.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.75)	4 (4)	4.21 ↑ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryazan
55.7%

Draw
22.7%

Rodina Moscow 3
21.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.4%

22.9%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

22.4%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Rodina Moscow 3 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryazan than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow 3 than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Ryazan - Rodina Moscow 3 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Evgenjev E. ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, Barkov A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
87', 3 - 0, Mishutin M. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 9).

Ryazan is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rodina 3 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ryazan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Ryazan has had a series of away games.

In this match, Ryazan is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ryazan won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Ryazan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Ryazan	29	16	9	4	49:18	31	57
7	Rodina Moscow 3	29	14	4	11	53:45	8	46

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ryazan
Russian Cup
11.08.26	Kvant Obninsk - Ryazan	0:2 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
08.08.26	Metallurg Lipetsk - Ryazan	0:0 ✺
26.07.26	Arsenal 2 Tula - Ryazan	0:5 ✺
04.07.26	Ryazan - SKA Khabarovsk 2	3:0 ✺
27.06.26	Shumbrat Saransk - Ryazan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTWWL
- Rodina Moscow 3
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
08.08.26	Rodina Moscow 3 - Rotor 2	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Kvant Obninsk - Rodina Moscow 3	1:4 ✺
25.07.26	Rodina Moscow 3 - Salyut Belgorod	1:3 ✺
04.07.26	Rodina Moscow 3 - Saturn Ramenskoye	2:2 ✺
27.06.26	Metallurg Lipetsk - Rodina Moscow 3	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
25.04.26	Rodina Moscow 3 - Ryazan	2:2
09.08.25	Rodina Moscow 3 - Ryazan	0:2
19.04.25	Ryazan - Rodina Moscow 3	2:1

Ryazan - Rodina Moscow 3