Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 16

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Rodina Moscow 3		Salyut Belgorod

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.99	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↑ (3.42)	2.99 ↑ (2.91)	2.13 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodina Moscow 3
25.7%

Draw
30.9%

Salyut Belgorod
43.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.6%

31.2%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

30.6%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodina Moscow 3 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Salyut Belgorod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow 3 than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salyut Belgorod than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Rodina Moscow 3 - Salyut Belgorod Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Faskhutdinov V. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Khudoklinov V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
76', 1 - 2, Bukatov S. ⚽,
85', 1 - 3, Bukatov S. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 6).

Now, both teams are in good form.

Salyut will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rodina 3 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Rodina 3 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Salyut-Belgorod	29	18	4	7	62:27	35	58
7	Rodina Moscow 3	29	14	4	11	53:45	8	46

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodina Moscow 3
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
04.07.26	Rodina Moscow 3 - Saturn Ramenskoye	2:2 ✺
27.06.26	Metallurg Lipetsk - Rodina Moscow 3	3:2 ✺
20.06.26	Rodina Moscow 3 - Zenit Penza	9:1 ✺
06.06.26	Rodina Moscow 3 - Strogino Moskva	2:0 ✺
30.05.26	SKA Khabarovsk 2 - Rodina Moscow 3	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLWWW
- Salyut Belgorod
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
01.07.26	Zenit Penza - Salyut Belgorod	1:2 ✺
28.06.26	Arsenal 2 Tula - Salyut Belgorod	0:4 ✺
20.06.26	Salyut Belgorod - Strogino Moskva	1:0 ✺
13.06.26	SKA Khabarovsk 2 - Salyut Belgorod	0:1 ✺
06.06.26	Salyut Belgorod - Shumbrat Saransk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
16.09.25	Rodina Moscow 3 - Salyut Belgorod	1:0
24.05.25	Salyut Belgorod - Rodina Moscow 3	4:2

Rodina Moscow 3 - Salyut Belgorod