Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League Women - Group Stage - Round 1

Date: 8 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Tre Fontane (Rome)

Referee: Campos C. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 1, DAZN 1 UK, DAZN UK
Usa	DAZN USA


	Roma		Wolfsburg

	1	X	2
	3.7	4.1	1.8
	3.75	3.75	1.8
	3.5	3.75	1.83
	3.75	3.72	1.89
	3.75	3.87	1.85	Watch
	3.6	3.75	1.73
	3.8	3.88	1.78
	3.5	3.75	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↓ (4.5)	3.82 ↓ (4)	1.81 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roma
25.1%

Draw
24.1%

Wolfsburg
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

23%

56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

21.5%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wolfsburg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Roma - Wolfsburg Predictions

Users Predictions: Wolfsburg will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ceasar C. (G) 3. Di Guglielmo L. 2. Minami M. 32. Linari E. 25. Thogersen F. 20. Greggi G. 8. Kumagai S. 10. Giugliano M. (C) 15. Dragoni G. 11. Haavi E. 7. Viens E.	1. Frohms M. (G) 2. Wilms L. 6. Minge J. 31. Hegering M. 39. Linder S. 10. Huth S. (C) 8. Lattwein L. 23. Jonsdottir S. J. 21. Blomqvist R. 9. Beerensteyn L. 11. Popp A.
Substitutes
14. Aigbogun E. 23. Cissoko H. 16. Corelli A. 9. Giacinti V. 18. Glionna B. 19. Hanshaw V. 30. Kresche I. (G) 71. Mazzocchi G. (G) 22. Pandini M. 17. Pilgrim A. 51. Troelsgaard S.	30. Borbe A. (G) 29. Brand J. 25. Endemann V. 7. Hagel C. 4. Hendrich K. 19. Kalma F. 18. Kielland J. 14. Rabano N. 22. Schmitz L. (G) 24. Wedemeyer M.
Coaches
Spugna A.	Stroot T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Giugliano M. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Blomqvist R. ↓, Hendrich K. ↑,
46', Jonsdottir S. J. ↓, Brand J. ↑,
65', Beerensteyn L. ↓, Endemann V. ↑,
69', Wilms L. 🟨,
76', Wilms L. ↓, Rabano N. ↑,
78', Dragoni G. ↓, Pilgrim A. ↑,
78', Giugliano M. ↓, Troelsgaard S. ↑,
85', Viens E. ↓, Giacinti V. ↑,
85', Linder S. ↓, Wedemeyer M. ↑,
90+2', Haavi E. ↓, Pandini M. ↑,

Preview

Roma in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Wolfsburg is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Wolfsburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Wolfsburg will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Roma won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1.5:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Roma won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Roma Women
Italian Serie A Women
05.10.24	Inter Milan - Roma	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Roma - Napoli	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
26.09.24	Servette - Roma	2:7 ✺
Italian Serie A Women
22.09.24	Como - Roma	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
18.09.24	Roma - Servette	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWWWW
- VfL Wolfsburg Women
German Bundesliga Women
04.10.24	Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig	5:0 ✺
29.09.24	Eintracht Frankfurt - Wolfsburg	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
25.09.24	Wolfsburg - Fiorentina	5:0 ✺
German Bundesliga Women
22.09.24	Wolfsburg - Köln	5:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
18.09.24	Fiorentina - Wolfsburg	0:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League Women
08.12.22	Wolfsburg - Roma	4:2
23.11.22	Roma - Wolfsburg	1:1

Roma - Wolfsburg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide