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Current Win Probability
Wolfsburg 72.7%
Draw 16.3%
Köln 11.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
63.3%
20.9%
15.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.5%
19.9%
15%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wolfsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wolfsburg's performance.
Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wolfsburg that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Wolfsburg - Köln Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Johannes S. (G) 2. Bjelde T. 3. Carleer L. 16. Kuver C. 39. Linder S. 5. Peddemors E. 6. Minge J. 8. Lattwein L. 10. Huth S. (C) 9. Prasnikar L. 19. Bussy K.
1. Schmitz L. (G) 5. Degen C. 15. Bohnen A. 33. Hegering M. (C) 14. Imping C. 27. Feiersinger L. 8. Vogt L. 20. Elsen C. 29. Leimenstoll V. 9. Bremer P. 17. Andrade L.
Substitutes
18. Alber M. 23. Bogaert L. 13. Floe C. 4. Kleinherne S. 17. Piljic K. 21. Tufekovic M. (G) 14. Vallotto S. 24. Wedemeyer M. 28. Zicai C.
25. Donhauser L. 4. Hendrich K. 35. Nelles P. (G) 6. Schafer J. 22. Schiffarth J. 36. Weber M. 10. Zawistowska W.
Coaches
Lerch S.
Carlson B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
30', Vogt L. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Peddemors E. ⚽,
44', Minge J. 🟨,
45', Bohnen A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', Imping C. 🟨,
59', 2 - 0, Peddemors E. ⚽,
62', 3 - 0, Kuver C. ⚽, Huth S. (A),
66', Minge J. ↓, Piljic K. ↑,
67', Bussy K. ↓, Zicai C. ↑,
67', Feiersinger L. ↓, Donhauser L. ↑,
67', Andrade L. ↓, Zawistowska W. ↑,
74', Bjelde T. ↓, Wedemeyer M. ↑,
74', Prasnikar L. ↓, Floe C. ↑,
74', Bohnen A. ↓, Hendrich K. ↑,
75', Hendrich K. 🟨,
80', Huth S. ↓, Alber M. ↑,
81', Zicai C. 🟨,
81', Imping C. ↓, Schiffarth J. ↑,
90', Carleer L. 🟨,
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 2nd and 5th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 4.
Wolfsburg is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Köln has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Wolfsburg holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Wolfsburg has recorded 15 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 64:9 (averaging 3.8:0.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Wolfsburg against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 31:6 goals (averaging 3.9:0.8 per game).