Match Info

Primavera 1 - Round 30

Date: 16 March 2026, Monday


	Fiorentina U20		Roma U20

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	2.7
	2	3.4	3.1
	2.04	3.6	3.61
	2.02	3.56	3.4	Watch
	1.97	3.3	3.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.29)	3.43 (3.43)	3.25 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorentina U20
44.9%

Draw
26.8%

Roma U20
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

27%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

26.2%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Roma U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina U20 than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma U20 than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Fiorentina U20 - Roma U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Fei G. (G) 72. Sturli E. 67. Sadotti E. 23. Kospo E. 19. Trapani N. 47. Montenegro L. 8. Deli L. 10. Puzzoli G. 80. Atzeni D. 28. Mazzeo B. 18. Jallow S.	70. De Marzi G. (G) 23. Terlizzi F. 14. Mirra J. 4. Seck M. 77. Lulli E. 6. Di Nunzio A. 8. Bah M. 3. Litti M. 28. Maccaroni V. 11. Almaviva M. 68. Arena A.
Substitutes
63. Bonanno P. 31. Conti G. 36. Croci F. 1. Dolfi B. (G) 33. Evangelista C. 16. Keita B. 14. Kone M. 51. Magalotti M. (G) 15. Perrotti A. 6. Turnone N.	16. Arduini G. 22. Cama C. 33. Carlaccini S. 75. Della Rocca M. 12. Kilvinger L. (G) 79. Morucci E. 13. Nardin F. 25. Panico F. 32. Paratici L. 21. Scacchi M. 15. Zinni R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', Sturli E. 🟨,
15', 0 - 1, Almaviva M. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Trapani N. ⚽,
40', Lulli E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Litti M. ↓, Carlaccini S. ↑,
46', Almaviva M. ↓, Panico F. ↑,
68', Deli L. ↓, Conti G. ↑,
71', Seck M. 🟨,
75', Arena A. 🟨,
76', Seck M. 🟨,
78', Maccaroni V. ↓, Nardin F. ↑,
84', Sturli E. ↓, Evangelista C. ↑,
84', Atzeni D. ↓, Croci F. ↑,
86', Lulli E. ↓, Cama C. ↑,
86', Di Nunzio A. ↓, Arduini G. ↑,
90+1', Mazzeo B. ↓, Bonanno P. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primavera 1 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primavera 1 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Roma U20 has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina U20 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Fiorentina U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	AS Roma U20	5	3	2	0	9:5	4	11
18	Fiorentina U20	5	0	3	2	5:7	-2	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiorentina U20
Italian Primavera 1
04.03.26	Fiorentina U20 - Bologna U20	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Cesena U20 - Fiorentina U20	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Fiorentina U20 - Lazio U20	4:1 ✺
15.02.26	Verona U20 - Fiorentina U20	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Primavera
11.02.26	Sassuolo U20 - Fiorentina U20	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWTL
- AS Roma U20
Italian Primavera 1
08.03.26	Roma U20 - Parma U20	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Roma U20 - Milan U20	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Inter U20 - Roma U20	2:6 ✺
Coppa Italia Primavera
11.02.26	Roma U20 - Parma U20	0:1 ✺
Italian Primavera 1
26.01.26	Roma U20 - Bologna U20	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Primavera 1
26.05.25	Roma U20 - Fiorentina U20	1:2
10.02.25	Roma U20 - Fiorentina U20	0:1
30.09.24	Fiorentina U20 - Roma U20	3:1

Fiorentina U20 - Roma U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide