The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rosario Central 2 44.7%
Draw 28.2%
Racing Club 2 27%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.7%
27.6%
23.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.5%
27.5%
23.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rosario Central 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
Racing Club 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central 2 than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Club 2 than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Rosario Central 2 - Racing Club 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
57', 1 - 0, Cabrera M. ⚽,
70', 2 - 0, Cantizano G. ⚽,
80', 3 - 0, Ponce T. ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Rosario Central 2 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Racing 2 is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Rosario Central 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Rosario Central 2 could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Rosario Central 2 won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Rosario Central 2 won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Rosario Central 2 - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 48.72%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.