Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 12 May 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Racing Club 2		Vélez Sársfield 2

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.25	1.95	Watch
	3.88	3.34	2.01
	3.67	3.17	2	Watch
	3.6	2.9	1.95
	2.7	3.37	2.49
	3.25	3.25	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (3.25)	3.21 ↓ (3.25)	2.06 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Club 2
26.9%

Draw
28.6%

Vélez Sársfield 2
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Club 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Vélez Sársfield 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Club 2 than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield 2 than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Racing Club 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 1 - 0, ⚽,
30', 🟥,
32', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', 🟥,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Racing 2 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vélez 2 is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Racing 2 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).

Including home match between the teams, Racing 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club 2
Argentinian Reserve League
05.05.26	River Plate 2 - Racing Club 2	2:2 ✺
30.04.26	Racing Club 2 - Instituto 2	0:0 ✺
21.04.26	Independiente 2 - Racing Club 2	1:2 ✺
14.04.26	Racing Club 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	1:1 ✺
09.04.26	Argentinos Juniors 2 - Racing Club 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TTWTL
- Vélez Sársfield 2
Argentinian Reserve League
06.05.26	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	4:0 ✺
29.04.26	Argentinos Juniors 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:2 ✺
22.04.26	Ferro 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:2 ✺
15.04.26	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Aldosivi 2	4:0 ✺
08.04.26	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
31.10.24	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Racing Club 2	4:1
29.05.24	Racing Club 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	0:1
15.06.22	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Racing Club 2	2:1

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