Match Info

DENMARK: Landspokal Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 September 2024, Wednesday

Location: Roskilde Idrætspark (Roskilde)


	Roskilde		Silkeborg IF

	1	X	2
	7	4.5	1.4
	6.7	4.85	1.39
	6.54	4.87	1.37
	6.9	4.44	1.39	Watch
	7	4.6	1.33
	6.94	4.8	1.37	Watch
	6.7	4.85	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.83 ↓ (7.98)	4.7 ↓ (5)	1.38 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roskilde
13.5%

Draw
19.6%

Silkeborg IF
66.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.7%

18.6%

69.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.4%

18.1%

71.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roskilde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Silkeborg IF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roskilde than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Silkeborg IF than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Roskilde - Silkeborg IF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Jensen A. (G) 10. Arabaci R. 11. Baskaya S. 22. Damkjaer J. 23. Fraulo G. 2. Juhl M. 8. Kristensen M. 26. Lysholm M. 14. Nyegaard K. 4. Skolnik O. 12. Vesterbaek N.	1. Larsen N. (G) 23. Adamsen T. 10. Bakiz Y. 11. Carlsen F. 33. Freundlich M. 19. Gammelby J. 4. Ganchas P. 20. Larsen M. 6. Mattsson P. 3. Ostrom R. 15. Thelander R.
Substitutes
5. Askham H. 27. Faester A. 6. Halse N. 30. Hjorth Reenberg O. (G) 3. Jensen Juul O. 18. Maarup A. 7. Nielsen E. 15. Taranis A. 17. Winkel M.	30. Andresen A. (G) 41. Boesen O. 35. Mikkelsen S. 36. Nielsen J. 7. Orazov R. 2. Poulsen A. 9. Simmelhack A. 5. Sonne O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Ganchas P. ⚽, Bakiz Y. (A),
45+2', 1 - 1, Arabaci R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', Arabaci R. 🟨,
62', 1 - 2, Adamsen T. ⚽, Carlsen F. (A),
67', Carlsen F. ↓, Simmelhack A. ↑,
67', Ostrom R. ↓, Sonne O. ↑,
67', Juhl M. ↓, Winkel M. ↑,
67', Jensen A. ↓, Nielsen E. ↑,
69', Damkjaer J. ↓, Jensen Juul O. ↑,
73', Bakiz Y. ↓, Orazov R. ↑,
74', Mattsson P. 🟨,
83', Baskaya S. ↓, Faester A. ↑,
83', Skolnik O. ↓, Maarup A. ↑,
84', Freundlich M. ↓, Nielsen J. ↑,
85', Maarup A. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 3, Orazov R. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Roskilde won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Silkeborg is certain favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Roskilde won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Roskilde won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Roskilde
Danish 1 Division
22.09.24	OB Odense - Roskilde	3:2 ✺
13.09.24	Roskilde - Hvidovre	2:0 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
03.09.24	Vanløse - Roskilde	1:2 ET ✺
Danish 1 Division
30.08.24	Roskilde - Esbjerg	1:2 ✺
24.08.24	Kolding IF - Roskilde	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LWWLT
- Silkeborg IF
Danish Superliga
22.09.24	Silkeborg IF - Brøndby	3:3 ✺
15.09.24	AGF Aarhus - Silkeborg IF	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Silkeborg IF - Midtjylland	1:3 ✺
25.08.24	Vejle Boldklub Kolding - Silkeborg IF	1:3 ✺
18.08.24	Silkeborg IF - Nordsjælland	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
07.04.19	Roskilde - Silkeborg IF	1:2
03.03.19	Silkeborg IF - Roskilde	3:1
19.08.18	Roskilde - Silkeborg IF	0:1
03.04.16	Silkeborg IF - Roskilde	6:2
25.10.15	Roskilde - Silkeborg IF	2:3
27.09.15	Roskilde - Silkeborg IF	2:2

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