Match Info

DENMARK: 1st Division - Round 8

Date: 30 August 2024, Friday

Location: Roskilde Idrætspark (Roskilde)

Referee: Funder S. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Elisa Viihde, Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Roskilde		Esbjerg

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.6	2
	3.2	3.5	2
	3.25	3.7	2.04	Watch
	3.39	3.83	2.06
	3.32	3.69	2.03	Watch
	3.22	3.8	2.04	Watch
	3.25	3.7	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↓ (3.47)	3.69 ↓ (3.74)	2.03 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roskilde
28.6%

Draw
25.4%

Esbjerg
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

24.7%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

24.1%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roskilde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Esbjerg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roskilde than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esbjerg than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	6.7%	93.3%

Roskilde - Esbjerg Predictions

Users Predictions: Esbjerg will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brylov M. (G) 19. Montell V. 5. Askham H. 26. Lysholm M. 2. Juhl M. 18. Maarup A. 6. Halse N. 3. Jensen Juul O. 7. Nielsen E. 15. Taranis A. 27. Faester A.	1. Gadegaard Andersen D. (G) 2. Mortensen J. 25. Meyer J. 15. Stagaard T. 21. Montano L. 8. Maden M. 10. Bourhane Y. 7. From L. 19. Strunck Jakobsen N. 12. Lausen A. 11. Bjur P.
Substitutes
11. Baskaya S. 22. Damkjaer J. 25. Engqvist F. 16. Jensen A. (G) 8. Kristensen M. 4. Skolnik O. 12. Vesterbaek N. 17. Winkel M.	39. Andersen E. 27. Baldursson B. 26. Flaskager F. 14. Freriks T. 16. Kristensen K. (G) 9. Ladefoged M. 6. Lauridsen J. 4. Tjornelund P. 5. Troelsen A.
Coaches
Thygesen M.	Sorensen L. L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
65', Bjur P. ↓, Freriks T. ↑,
68', 1 - 0, Taranis A. ⚽,
70', Bourhane Y. 🟨,
72', Maden M. ↓, Andersen E. ↑,
76', Maarup A. ↓, Kristensen M. ↑,
76', Askham H. ↓, Skolnik O. ↑,
81', From L. ↓, Ladefoged M. ↑,
81', Strunck Jakobsen N. ↓, Troelsen A. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Montano L. ⚽, Lausen A. (A),
89', Nielsen E. ↓, Damkjaer J. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 2, Ladefoged M. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Roskilde won 0.

Roskilde is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Esbjerg is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Esbjerg will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Roskilde won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Roskilde won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Roskilde
Danish 1 Division
24.08.24	Kolding IF - Roskilde	0:0 ✺
20.08.24	Roskilde - Horsens	1:2 ✺
16.08.24	Fredericia - Roskilde	3:2 ✺
10.08.24	Roskilde - Hobro	0:2 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
05.08.24	Hellerup - Roskilde	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLLLW
- Esbjerg fB
Danish 1 Division
24.08.24	Esbjerg - HB Køge	4:1 ✺
21.08.24	Kolding IF - Esbjerg	1:2 ✺
17.08.24	Esbjerg - Vendsyssel	3:1 ✺
11.08.24	Fredericia - Esbjerg	4:0 ✺
04.08.24	Esbjerg - Horsens	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 2 Division
08.06.24	Roskilde - Esbjerg	2:2
12.05.24	Esbjerg - Roskilde	3:2
28.03.24	Esbjerg - Roskilde	4:2
30.09.23	Roskilde - Esbjerg	3:3
12.03.23	Esbjerg - Roskilde	2:1
01.10.22	Roskilde - Esbjerg	0:1
Danish 1 Division
05.05.18	Esbjerg - Roskilde	2:1

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