Match Info

SCOTLAND: Premiership - Round 18

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Global Energy Stadium (Dingwall)

Referee: Snedden I. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+


	Ross County		St. Mirren

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.1	2.55	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.45
	2.85	3.1	2.6	Watch
	2.97	3.15	2.69
	2.95	3.04	2.62	Watch
	2.9	3	2.6
	2.98	3.08	2.56	Watch
	2.85	3.1	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (3.08)	3.08 ↓ (3.24)	2.58 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ross County
32.6%

Draw
30.7%

St. Mirren
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

29.1%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

28.8%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ross County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

St. Mirren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ross County than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Mirren than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	16.7%	72.2%

Ross County - St. Mirren Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Ross County will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). St. Mirren will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St. Mirren: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Hamilton J. (G) 4. Wright A. 20. Lopata K. 6. Allardice S. 24. Efete M. 8. Randall C. 23. Nisbet J. 10. Chilvers N. 16. Harmon G. 26. White J. 9. Hale R.	1. Balcombe E. (G) 22. Fraser M. (C) 4. Iacovitti A. 5. Taylor R. 42. Bwomono E. 8. Smyth O. 88. Phillips K. 3. Tanser S. 12. Idowu R. 11. Kiltie G. 9. Mandron M.
Substitutes
1. Amissah J. (G) 27. Brophy E. 15. Denholm A. 14. Grieves J. 3. Leak R. 7. Loturi V. 43. Reid J. 12. Sheaf M. 21. Telfer Ch.	23. Adeniran D. 7. Ayunga J. 15. Boyd-Munce C. 13. Gogic A. 26. Kenny L. 33. Mooney E. 28. Penman C. 14. Scott J. 27. Urminsky P. (G)
Coaches
Cowie D.	Robinson S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Tanser S. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Iacovitti A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Allardice S. ↓, Denholm A. ↑,
46', 1 - 1, Efete M. ⚽,
55', Tanser S. 🟨,
61', Bwomono E. 🟨,
68', Harmon G. ↓, Reid J. ↑,
69', Nisbet J. ↓, Brophy E. ↑,
76', Idowu R. ↓, Gogic A. ↑,
77', Mandron M. ↓, Ayunga J. ↑,
89', 1 - 2, Smyth O. ⚽,
90', Phillips K. 🟨,
90+2', Kiltie G. ↓, Boyd-Munce C. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ross County won 1.

Ross County is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches St. Mirren is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

St. Mirren will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Ross County: Lamie R. (Injury)

There will not play in St. Mirren: Dunne C. (Muscle Injury) Olusanya T. (Yellow Cards)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Ross County won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 20:26 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Ross County won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:16 (average 1.3:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ross County
Scottish Premier League
14.12.24	Hibernian - Ross County	3:1 ✺
08.12.24	Ross County - Glasgow Rangers	0:3 ✺
30.11.24	Celtic - Ross County	5:0 ✺
23.11.24	Ross County - Motherwell	2:1 ✺
09.11.24	Dundee United - Ross County	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLWL
- St. Mirren
Scottish Premier League
14.12.24	St. Johnstone - St. Mirren	2:3 ✺
07.12.24	St. Mirren - Motherwell	0:1 ✺
30.11.24	Dundee United - St. Mirren	2:0 ✺
23.11.24	St. Mirren - Aberdeen	2:1 ✺
09.11.24	Hibernian - St. Mirren	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
02.11.24	St. Mirren - Ross County	0:0
27.02.24	Ross County - St. Mirren	1:1
09.12.23	St. Mirren - Ross County	2:0
28.11.23	Ross County - St. Mirren	1:0
18.02.23	St. Mirren - Ross County	1:0
05.11.22	Ross County - St. Mirren	3:2
13.08.22	St. Mirren - Ross County	1:0

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