Match Info

Premiership - Round 12

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: The SMISA Stadium (Paisley)

Referee: Dickinson D. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Italy	Como TV
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 5
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Usa	Paramount+


	St. Mirren		Hibernian

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.25	2.5	Watch
	2.82	3.15	2.48	Watch
	2.88	3.35	2.61
	2.96	3.32	2.39	Watch
	2.75	3.24	2.5	Watch
	2.75	3.2	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↓ (2.92)	3.25 ↓ (3.31)	2.5 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Mirren
33.4%

Draw
28.9%

Hibernian
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

28.4%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

28.3%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Mirren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Hibernian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Mirren than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hibernian than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	28.6%	71.4%

St. Mirren - Hibernian Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Hibernian will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. George S. (G) 22. Fraser M. (C) 5. King R. 21. Freckleton M. 2. Richardson J. 88. Phillips K. 4. Donnelly L. 25. Baccus K. 24. John D. 14. N'Lundulu D. 9. Mandron M.	1. Sallinger R. (G) 33. Bushiri R. 4. Hanley G. 15. Iredale J. 22. Barlaser D. 12. Cadden Ch. 19. Cadden N. 20. Mulligan J. 17. McGrath J. 10. Boyle M. (C) 9. Bowie K.
Substitutes
11. Ayunga J. 17. Calvin J. 18. Dijksteel M. 7. Idowu R. 10. McMenamin C. 33. Mooney E. 31. Mullen R. (G) 3. Tanser S. 30. Taylor F.	32. Campbell J. 14. Chaiwa M. 23. Hoilett J. 18. Klidje T. 27. Megwa K. 21. Obita J. 5. O'Hora W. 13. Smith J. (G) 7. Youan T.
Coaches
Robinson S.	Gray D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Mulligan J. ⚽, McGrath J. (A),
26', Baccus K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 0 - 2, Cadden Ch. ⚽,
56', King R. 🟨,
58', Donnelly L. ↓, Idowu R. ↑,
58', Richardson J. ↓, McMenamin C. ↑,
66', Bushiri R. 🟨,
69', McGrath J. ↓, Campbell J. ↑,
69', Boyle M. ↓, Klidje T. ↑,
73', Mandron M. ↓, Ayunga J. ↑,
77', John D. 🟨,
78', Barlaser D. ↓, Chaiwa M. ↑,
80', 0 - 3, Chaiwa M. ⚽, Campbell J. (A),
81', N'Lundulu D. ↓, Dijksteel M. ↑,
81', John D. ↓, Tanser S. ↑,
84', Bowie K. ↓, Hoilett J. ↑,
85', Cadden N. ↓, Obita J. ↑,
90+1', Idowu R. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Mirren won 2.

St. Mirren is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hibernian has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Hibernian: Levitt D. (Surgery) Manneh A. (Hamstring Injury) Molotnikov R. (Injury) Newell J. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Hibernian: O'Hora W. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Mirren won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:28. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, St. Mirren won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

St. Mirren - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 32.13%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Mirren
Scottish League Cup
01.11.25	Motherwell - St. Mirren	1:4 ✺
Scottish Premier League
29.10.25	St. Mirren - Hearts	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Dundee United - St. Mirren	3:1 ✺
18.10.25	St. Mirren - Aberdeen	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Kilmarnock - St. Mirren	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTLLL
- Hibernian FC
Scottish Premier League
01.11.25	Livingston - Hibernian	2:2 ✺
29.10.25	Hibernian - Glasgow Rangers	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Aberdeen - Hibernian	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Hibernian - Livingston	4:0 ✺
04.10.25	Hearts - Hibernian	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
31.08.25	Hibernian - St. Mirren	1:1
14.05.25	St. Mirren - Hibernian	2:2
16.02.25	St. Mirren - Hibernian	0:0
09.11.24	Hibernian - St. Mirren	1:2
04.08.24	St. Mirren - Hibernian	3:0
03.02.24	Hibernian - St. Mirren	0:3
08.11.23	St. Mirren - Hibernian	2:2

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