Match Info

3. Liga - Round 9

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stadion an der Hafenstrasse (Essen)

Referee: Bartnitzki D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport
World	Onefootball


	Rot-Weiß Essen		Hoffenheim II

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.9	2.88	Watch
	1.85	3.95	3.45
	2.22	3.96	3
	2.43	3.72	2.53	Watch
	1.84	3.84	3.6	Watch
	1.55	4.35	4.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.53)	3.95 ↓ (4.3)	3.39 ↓ (4.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rot-Weiß Essen
47.7%

Draw
24.1%

Hoffenheim II
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

21.3%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

21.1%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rot-Weiß Essen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rot-Weiß Essen's form might have worsened.

Hoffenheim II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hoffenheim II's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rot-Weiß Essen than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rot-Weiß Essen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim II than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hoffenheim II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Rot Weiß Essen - Hoffenheim II Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Rot-Weiß Essen will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Hoffenheim II will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rot-Weiß Essen: 31.2% – 83%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Hoffenheim II (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Hoffenheim II (3.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Hoffenheim II (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Rot-Weiß Essen (2.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Rot-Weiß Essen (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Hoffenheim II (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Golz J. (G) 2. Kostka M. 4. Schultz M. 23. Rios Alonso J. 14. Brumme L. 32. Bazzoli L. 26. Musel T. 7. Safi R. 6. Arslan A. 24. Mizuta K. 29. Mause J.	1. Petersson L. (G) 24. Erlein L. 49. Luhrs Y. 6. Lassig V. 39. Bahr F. 17. Reisig R. 10. Duric L. 7. Amaimouni A. 22. Llugiqi A. 11. Hennrich P. 38. Zeitler D.
Substitutes
19. Bouebari F. 37. Hofmann J. 20. Janssen M. 18. Kaiser N. 33. Kraulich T. 10. Obuz M. 30. Owusu K. 39. Swajkowski G. 35. Wienand F. (G)	8. Dagdeviren D. 40. Donkor D. 30. El-Jindaoui N. 23. Honajzer A. 16. Hor Y. 9. Kalambayi Mukuta S. 27. Krasniqi L. 45. Labes B. O. 34. Onohiol Y. (G)
Coaches
Koschinat U.	Kleineheismann S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Mause J. ⚽,
30', 2 - 0, Mause J. ⚽,
38', Erlein L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Llugiqi A. ↓, Labes B. O. ↑,
46', Kostka M. ↓, Hofmann J. ↑,
58', Mause J. 🟨,
59', 3 - 0, Mizuta K. ⚽, Safi R. (A),
63', Mause J. ↓, Obuz M. ↑,
66', Zeitler D. ↓, El-Jindaoui N. ↑,
66', Erlein L. ↓, Hor Y. ↑,
72', Hennrich P. ↓, Dagdeviren D. ↑,
72', Safi R. ↓, Janssen M. ↑,
72', Arslan A. ↓, Kraulich T. ↑,
75', Lassig V. 🟨,
83', Duric L. ↓, Honajzer A. ↑,
86', 3 - 1, Lassig V. ⚽, Amaimouni A. (A),
90+2', Amaimouni A. 🟨,
90+3', Mizuta K. ↓, Kaiser N. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 4).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Hoffenheim II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rot-Weiß Essen is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rot-Weiß Essen
German 3 Bundesliga
27.09.25	Waldhof Mannheim - Rot-Weiß Essen	6:1 ✺
20.09.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Hansa Rostock	3:0 ✺
17.09.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Osnabrück	1:1 ✺
12.09.25	Jahn Regensburg - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:3 ✺
31.08.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Alemannia Aachen	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWTWL
- Hoffenheim II
German 3 Bundesliga
28.09.25	Hoffenheim II - Ulm 1846	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	1860 München - Hoffenheim II	1:5 ✺
16.09.25	Viktoria Köln - Hoffenheim II	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Hoffenheim II - Verl	2:4 ✺
30.08.25	Hansa Rostock - Hoffenheim II	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 TWLLW

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