Match Info

3. Liga - Round 8

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Dietmar-Hopp Stadion (Sinsheim)

Referee: Rose N. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 8
Germany	Magenta Sport
World	Onefootball


	Hoffenheim II		Ulm 1846

	1	X	2
	2	4.1	3.1	Watch
	2.05	3.75	3.05
	2.09	4.05	3.13
	2.15	2.68	4.22	Watch
	2.09	3.68	3.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.25)	3.65 ↓ (3.73)	3.3 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hoffenheim II
45.5%

Draw
25.9%

Ulm 1846
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

25.1%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

24.3%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hoffenheim II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Ulm 1846 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim II than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Hoffenheim II - Ulm 1846 Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Hoffenheim II will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Ulm will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Ulm (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ulm (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Petersson L. (G) 24. Erlein L. 49. Luhrs Y. 6. Lassig V. (C) 39. Bahr F. 16. Hor Y. 10. Duric L. 7. Amaimouni A. 11. Hennrich P. 38. Zeitler D. 22. Llugiqi A.	39. Ortag C. (G) 2. Gorlich L. 21. Seegert M. 15. David J. 19. Meier J. 23. Brandt M. 14. Dressel D. 25. Loder E. 11. Chessa D. 49. Becker A. 43. Dajaku L.
Substitutes
8. Dagdeviren D. 40. Donkor D. 30. El-Jindaoui N. 23. Honajzer A. 9. Kalambayi Mukuta S. 27. Krasniqi L. 45. Labes B. O. 34. Onohiol Y. (G) 17. Reisig R.	33. Anderson Brown E. 17. Besong P. 34. Boller J. 4. Etse J. 32. Kolle N. 9. Roser L. 1. Schmitt M. (G) 28. Scholze M. 8. Westermeier B.
Coaches
Kleineheismann S.	Glasbrenner M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', Bahr F. 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, Zeitler D. ⚽, Hennrich P. (A),
28', 1 - 1, Chessa D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bahr F. ↓, Reisig R. ↑,
64', Zeitler D. ↓, El-Jindaoui N. ↑,
64', Llugiqi A. ↓, Labes B. O. ↑,
66', Brandt M. 🟨,
76', Meier J. ↓, Kolle N. ↑,
76', Becker A. ↓, Roser L. ↑,
77', Loder E. ↓, Westermeier B. ↑,
77', Amaimouni A. ↓, Donkor D. ↑,
78', Gorlich L. 🟨,
85', Chessa D. ↓, Besong P. ↑,
88', Hennrich P. ↓, Kalambayi Mukuta S. ↑,
90', Dajaku L. ↓, Anderson Brown E. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim II won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Hoffenheim II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim II won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:24. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Hoffenheim II won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Ulm 1846 - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 33.39%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hoffenheim II
German 3 Bundesliga
20.09.25	1860 München - Hoffenheim II	1:5 ✺
16.09.25	Viktoria Köln - Hoffenheim II	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Hoffenheim II - Verl	2:4 ✺
30.08.25	Hansa Rostock - Hoffenheim II	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Hoffenheim II - Energie Cottbus	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 WLLWW
- Ulm 1846
German 3 Bundesliga
21.09.25	Ulm 1846 - Jahn Regensburg	2:1 ✺
16.09.25	Saarbrücken - Ulm 1846	3:1 ✺
13.09.25	Alemannia Aachen - Ulm 1846	1:3 ✺
31.08.25	Ulm 1846 - Waldhof Mannheim	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Duisburg - Ulm 1846	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
11.03.23	Ulm 1846 - Hoffenheim II	1:0
03.09.22	Hoffenheim II - Ulm 1846	1:3
26.02.22	Ulm 1846 - Hoffenheim II	1:1
14.09.21	Hoffenheim II - Ulm 1846	1:2
10.04.21	Ulm 1846 - Hoffenheim II	4:1
20.10.20	Hoffenheim II - Ulm 1846	2:1
19.10.19	Ulm 1846 - Hoffenheim II	3:1

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