Match Info

3. Liga - Round 24

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion an der Hafenstrasse (Essen)

Referee: Prigan F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport, tv.dfb.de
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Onefootball


	Rot-Weiß Essen		Jahn Regensburg

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	3.5	Watch
	1.9	3.6	3.6	Watch
	1.99	3.84	3.72
	1.82	3.93	3.76	Watch
	1.85	3.5	3.3
	1.97	3.52	3.62	Watch
	1.81	3.8	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.72)	3.66 ↓ (3.92)	3.61 ↓ (3.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rot-Weiß Essen
49%

Draw
25.3%

Jahn Regensburg
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

23.4%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

23%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rot-Weiß Essen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Jahn Regensburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rot-Weiß Essen than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rot-Weiß Essen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jahn Regensburg than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	36.4%	0%

Rot Weiß Essen - Jahn Regensburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Rot-Weiß Essen will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rot-Weiß Essen: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rot-Weiß Essen (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Wienand F. (G) 23. Rios Alonso J. 15. Huning B. 8. Gjasula K. (C) 37. Hofmann J. 16. Reisig R. 26. Musel T. 14. Brumme L. 7. Safi R. 11. Abiama D. 20. Janssen M.	1. Gebhardt F. (G) 37. Wurm L. 4. Strauss F. 44. Karbstein M. 25. Oliveira N. 29. Fein A. 6. Saller B. (C) 7. Schonfelder O. 11. Eichinger N. 30. Kuhlwetter C. 21. Hottmann E.
Substitutes
19. Bouebari F. 25. Bruning M. (G) 9. Cuber Potocnik J. 18. Kaiser N. 2. Kostka M. 33. Kraulich T. 10. Obuz M. 22. Schmidt D. 39. Swajkowski G.	26. Bauer B. 10. Beckhoff P. 13. Dietz F. 8. Geipl A. 31. Matzler L. 5. Muller P. 20. Posselt J. X. 33. Seidel N. 12. Wechsel L. (G)
Coaches
Koschinat U.	Wimmer M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Hottmann E. ⚽,
27', Abiama D. 🟨,
33', 1 - 1, Brumme L. ⚽, Abiama D. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
61', 2 - 1, Hofmann J. ⚽, Safi R. (A),
62', Schonfelder O. ↓, Bauer B. ↑,
65', 3 - 1, Rios Alonso J. ⚽, Janssen M. (A),
69', Safi R. ↓, Obuz M. ↑,
73', Oliveira N. ↓, Posselt J. X. ↑,
73', Saller B. ↓, Muller P. ↑,
75', 3 - 2, Posselt J. X. ⚽, Hottmann E. (A),
79', Musel T. ↓, Kaiser N. ↑,
79', Janssen M. ↓, Cuber Potocnik J. ↑,
86', Abiama D. ↓, Bouebari F. ↑,
86', Brumme L. ↓, Kraulich T. ↑,
86', Kuhlwetter C. ↓, Dietz F. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 and 14).

Rot-Weiß Essen is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Regensburg has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Rot-Weiß Essen is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rot-Weiß Essen won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Rot-Weiß Essen won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	RW Essen	8	4	3	1	16:12	4	15
13	Regensburg	8	2	2	4	18:17	1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rot-Weiß Essen
German 3 Bundesliga
08.02.26	Alemannia Aachen - Rot-Weiß Essen	3:3 ✺
01.02.26	Rot-Weiß Essen - Wehen Wiesbaden	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Rot-Weiß Essen - TSV Havelse	4:1 ✺
17.01.26	1860 München - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Ulm 1846	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TTWTW
- Jahn Regensburg
German 3 Bundesliga
07.02.26	Jahn Regensburg - Viktoria Köln	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Schweinfurt - Jahn Regensburg	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Duisburg - Jahn Regensburg	2:0 ✺
16.01.26	Jahn Regensburg - Ingolstadt	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
10.01.26	Greuther Fürth - Jahn Regensburg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
12.09.25	Jahn Regensburg - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:3
10.02.24	Jahn Regensburg - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:3
16.09.23	Rot-Weiß Essen - Jahn Regensburg	0:0

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