Match Info

Date: 4 May 2022, Wednesday


	Rotonda		Audace Cerignola

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.2	1.85
	4.04	3.17	1.82
	4.75	3.3	1.67
	3.86	2.86	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.06 ↓ (5.41)	3.13 ↓ (3.62)	1.86 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rotonda
22.3%

Draw
28.9%

Audace Cerignola
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.6%

24.9%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.8%

26.2%

61.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rotonda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rotonda's performance.

Audace Cerignola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Audace Cerignola might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotonda than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rotonda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Audace Cerignola could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Audace Cerignola is Confirmed as champions, Qualified for

Recent matches Rotonda is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Audace Cerignola in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Rotonda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Audace Cerignola is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rotonda won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rotonda Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
24.04.22	Gravina - Rotonda	0:1 ✺
14.04.22	Rotonda - Nardo	2:5 ✺
10.04.22	Casarano - Rotonda	0:1 ✺
03.04.22	Rotonda - Bisceglie	2:0 ✺
27.03.22	Rotonda - Altamura	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WLWWL
- USD Audace Cerignola
Coppa Italia Serie D
30.04.22	Audace Cerignola - Cittanovese	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group H
24.04.22	Audace Cerignola - Bitonto	1:0 ✺
14.04.22	Francavilla - Audace Cerignola	0:1 ✺
10.04.22	Audace Cerignola - Virtus Matino	1:0 ✺
03.04.22	Mariglianese - Audace Cerignola	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
12.12.21	Audace Cerignola - Rotonda	3:0

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