Match Info

Date: 14 April 2022, Thursday


	Francavilla		Audace Cerignola

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.25	1.87
	3.53	3.29	1.9
	3.36	2.99	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (2.72)	3.18 ↑ (3)	1.98 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francavilla
26.1%

Draw
28.4%

Audace Cerignola
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

30.4%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

31.2%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francavilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Francavilla's form might have worsened.

Audace Cerignola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Audace Cerignola's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francavilla than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Francavilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Audace Cerignola, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent matches Francavilla is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Audace Cerignola in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Audace Cerignola will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Francavilla won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Francavilla
Italian Serie D - Group H
10.04.22	Gravina - Francavilla	3:2 ✺
03.04.22	Francavilla - Nardo	3:2 ✺
30.03.22	Casarano - Francavilla	1:1 ✺
27.03.22	Francavilla - Bisceglie	2:1 ✺
13.03.22	Nola - Francavilla	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWTWL
- USD Audace Cerignola
Italian Serie D - Group H
10.04.22	Audace Cerignola - Virtus Matino	1:0 ✺
03.04.22	Mariglianese - Audace Cerignola	0:3 ✺
30.03.22	Audace Cerignola - Nocerina	3:2 ✺
26.03.22	Lavello - Audace Cerignola	0:1 ✺
13.03.22	Nardo - Audace Cerignola	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
05.12.21	Audace Cerignola - Francavilla	2:0
11.10.20	Audace Cerignola - Francavilla	0:1
10.11.19	Audace Cerignola - Francavilla	2:1
23.12.18	Audace Cerignola - Francavilla	2:0
03.12.17	Audace Cerignola - Francavilla	3:1

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