Match Info

FNL - Round 5

Date: 9 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Volgograd Arena (Volgograd)

Referee: Zhuravlev O. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Rotor		Chelyabinsk

	1	X	2
	1.84	3.41	4.88
	1.8	3.35	4.8
	1.87	3.49	4.76	Watch
	1.77	3.1	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.66)	3.34 ↓ (3.55)	4.69 ↓ (5.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rotor
51.7%

Draw
28.2%

Chelyabinsk
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

26.4%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

24.4%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rotor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Chelyabinsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotor than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Rotor - Chelyabinsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Chagrov N. (G) 17. Pokidyshev N. 15. Danilkin E. 16. Poyarkov N. 4. Yudintsev G. 10. Simonyan A. 8. Ayupov T. 5. Troshechkin A. 6. Umnikov M. 9. Aliev S. 11. Eldarushev A.	31. Pereverzev M. (G) 72. Bem A. 50. Lystsov V. 6. Makarov S. 19. Baytukov R. 7. Safronov I. 70. Levin G. 18. Kertanov K. 10. Gadzhimuradov R. 29. Urvantsev M. 99. Kamenshchikov D.
Substitutes
25. Emerson 21. Gorelov P. 7. Khokhlachev A. 23. Khramtsov M. 28. Khubulov A. 20. Litvenok I. (G) 12. Revazov A. 18. Rodionov I. 1. Sugrobov V. (G) 22. Tsaraev A.	21. Berdnikov A. 55. Borisov G. 74. Kacorri L. 17. N'Diaye B. 33. Pokotylo D. 24. Pridava N. 23. Rogochiy B. 77. Samoilov D. 93. Tuseev I. (G)
Coaches
Parfenov D.	Pilipchuk R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Eldarushev A. ⚽,
23', Chagrov N. 🟨,
32', 2 - 0, Troshechkin A. ⚽,
33', 2 - 1, Urvantsev M. ⚽,
41', 3 - 1, Aliev S. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bem A. ↓, Pridava N. ↑,
46', Kamenshchikov D. ↓, N'Diaye B. ↑,
56', Aliev S. ↓, Khubulov A. ↑,
60', 4 - 1, Eldarushev A. ⚽,
61', 🟨,
76', Simonyan A. ↓, Rodionov I. ↑,
76', Urvantsev M. ↓, Kacorri L. ↑,
76', Gadzhimuradov R. ↓, Pokotylo D. ↑,
77', Lystsov V. 🟨,
79', Eldarushev A. ↓, Emerson ↑,
82', Safronov I. ↓, Samoilov D. ↑,
84', Troshechkin A. 🟨,
86', Khubulov A. 🟨,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Rotor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rotor is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rotor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Rotor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

R. Volgograd: 1.42% Chelyabinsk: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	R. Volgograd	12	5	2	5	20:14	6	17
15	Chelyabinsk	12	3	3	6	13:19	-6	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rotor Volgograd
Russian FNL
03.08.26	Veles Moscow - Rotor	2:1 ✺
27.07.26	KAMAZ - Rotor	0:2 ✺
20.07.26	Rotor - SKA Khabarovsk	1:0 ✺
12.07.26	Nizhny Novgorod - Rotor	4:2 ✺
Club Friendly
06.07.26	Rotor - Akron Tolyatti	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWLL
- FC Chelyabinsk
Russian FNL
02.08.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Chelyabinsk	0:2 ✺
25.07.26	Chelyabinsk - Nizhny Novgorod	1:2 ✺
19.07.26	Veles Moscow - Chelyabinsk	1:0 ✺
13.07.26	Chelyabinsk - SKA Khabarovsk	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
06.07.26	Chelyabinsk - Torpedo Miass	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
24.11.25	Rotor - Chelyabinsk	0:2
26.07.25	Chelyabinsk - Rotor	1:0
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
22.05.24	Chelyabinsk - Rotor	2:1

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