Match Info

FNL - Round 1

Date: 13 July 2026, Monday

Location: Central Stadium (Chelyabinsk)

Referee: Cheremnykh M. (Rus)


	Chelyabinsk		SKA Khabarovsk

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.48	4.75
	1.82	3.40	4.55
	1.80	3.50	4.40	Watch
	1.75	3.35	4.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.2)	3.43 ↑ (3.28)	4.45 ↑ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelyabinsk
51.8%

Draw
27.2%

SKA Khabarovsk
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

29.1%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelyabinsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chelyabinsk's performance.

SKA Khabarovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SKA Khabarovsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	20%	10%

Chelyabinsk - SKA Khabarovsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Chelyabinsk will win (votes: 7 - 70%). SKA Khabarovsk will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chelyabinsk: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Pereverzev M. (G) 21. Berdnikov A. 19. Baytukov R. 50. Lystsov V. 24. Pridava N. 77. Samoilov D. 6. Makarov S. 17. N'Diaye B. 10. Gadzhimuradov R. 70. Levin G. 7. Safronov I.	16. Botnar V. (G) 29. Mukhin A. 3. Pliev K. 4. Shavlokhov D. 61. Uzhgin M. 24. Gorelishvili M. 5. Bliev E. 8. Markitesov D. 13. Yanov D. 50. Glotov S. 9. Alcalde J.
Substitutes
72. Bem A. 55. Borisov G. 74. Kacorri L. 18. Kertanov K. 33. Pokotylo D. 23. Rogochiy B. 44. Rusyaev I. 93. Tuseev I. (G) 14. Urvantsev M.	6. Bagiev S. 11. Bragin V. 82. Ilyev D. 91. Noskov E. 20. Shkolik I. 1. Shtepa M. (G) 19. Vshivkov V.
Coaches
Pilipchuk R.	Semenov M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 1 - 0, Berdnikov A. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Gorelishvili M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', N'Diaye B. ↓, Urvantsev M. ↑,
50', Pridava N. ↓, Kertanov K. ↑,
56', 2 - 1, Gadzhimuradov R. ⚽,
59', Markitesov D. ↓, Bagiev S. ↑,
59', Alcalde J. ↓, Bragin V. ↑,
65', 3 - 1, Gadzhimuradov R. ⚽,
68', Shavlokhov D. ↓, Noskov E. ↑,
68', Yanov D. ↓, Shkolik I. ↑,
68', Gorelishvili M. ↓, Vshivkov V. ↑,
87', Gadzhimuradov R. ↓, Pokotylo D. ↑,

Preview

SKA Khabarovsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Chelyabinsk is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Chelyabinsk won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Chelyabinsk won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

Chelyabinsk: 0.78% SKA Khabarovsk: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Chelyabinsk	12	3	3	6	13:19	-6	12
18	SKA Khabarovsk	12	1	3	8	11:23	-12	6

Last Results with these Odds

Chelyabinsk - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 43.46%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Chelyabinsk
Club Friendly
06.07.26	Chelyabinsk - Torpedo Miass	2:2 ✺
Russian FNL
16.05.26	Chelyabinsk - Shinnik	2:2 ✺
08.05.26	Rodina Moscow - Chelyabinsk	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Chelyabinsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Chelyabinsk - Ural	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TTLWL
- SKA Khabarovsk
Club Friendly
30.06.26	Sochi - SKA Khabarovsk	4:2 ✺
Russian FNL
16.05.26	SKA Khabarovsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:0 ✺
08.05.26	Fakel - SKA Khabarovsk	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	SKA Khabarovsk - Ufa	SKA Khabarovsk Awarded ✺
26.04.26	Shinnik - SKA Khabarovsk	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LWT?L

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
11.04.26	Chelyabinsk - SKA Khabarovsk	2:2
14.09.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Chelyabinsk	1:1

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