Match Info

FNL - Round 6

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday

Location: Volgograd Arena (Volgograd)

Referee: Galimov Y. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Rotor		Torpedo Moscow

	1	X	2
	3.07	2.85	2.82
	2.91	2.73	2.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.47)	2.79 ↓ (3)	2.83 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rotor
31.9%

Draw
34.2%

Torpedo Moscow
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

30.9%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

30.1%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rotor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rotor's form might have worsened.

Torpedo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotor than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rotor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Moscow than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Rotor - Torpedo Moscow Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Rotor (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Torpedo (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Rotor (1.94) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Torpedo (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Torpedo (2.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Rotor (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Torpedo (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Chagrov N. (G) 17. Shilnikov G. 37. Fomin D. 97. Pokidyshev N. 80. Bardybakhin V. 2. Korotkov A. 10. Simonyan A. 7. Safronov I. 24. Maltsev M. 6. Makarov S. (C) 88. Nikiforov N.	12. Baburin E. (C) 19. Baytukov R. 4. Borodin S. 84. Churilov V. 99. Shevchenko G. 15. Danilkin E. 97. Curic M. 27. Orekhov A. 8. Galoyan A. 23. Danilin K. 38. Chupayov A.
Substitutes
33. Arbuzov Y. 73. Aznaurov I. 9. Davidyan D. . Kaynov M. 70. Khokhlachev A. 23. Lavrishchev D. 27. Nikishin K. 77. Sasin D. 28. Semenov A. 5. Shumskikh A. 3. Shvetsov M. 50. Sugrobov V. (G)	17. Alykulov G. 9. Bakic D. 14. Burkhin E. 89. Chervyakov R. 3. Ivankov A. 87. Kostin A. 5. Moskvichev V. 11. Shamkin D. 25. Soldatenko R. (G) 55. Stepanov D. 74. Volkov M. (G) 7. Yushin A.
Coaches
Boyarintsev D.	Kononov O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Safronov I. ⚽,
42', Makarov S. 🟨,
42', Baytukov R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', Curic M. ↓, Moskvichev V. ↑,
54', Chupayov A. ↓, Bakic D. ↑,
59', 2 - 0, Simonyan A. ⚽,
62', Galoyan A. ↓, Yushin A. ↑,
63', Churilov V. ↓, Alykulov G. ↑,
74', Maltsev M. ↓, Kaynov M. ↑,
74', Nikiforov N. ↓, Aznaurov I. ↑,
74', Safronov I. ↓, Khokhlachev A. ↑,
78', Shilnikov G. ↓, Sasin D. ↑,
81', Simonyan A. ↓, Lavrishchev D. ↑,
82', Danilin K. ↓, Chervyakov R. ↑,
87', 3 - 0, Sasin D. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rotor won 1.

Rotor has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Torpedo is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Rotor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Rotor won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Rotor won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rotor Volgograd
Russian FNL
16.08.25	Sokol Saratov - Rotor	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	Rotor - Ufa	1:0 ✺
04.08.25	Rotor - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	0:0 ✺
26.07.25	Chelyabinsk - Rotor	1:0 ✺
19.07.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Rotor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TWTLW
- Torpedo Moscow
Russian FNL
18.08.25	Torpedo Moscow - Ural	1:0 ✺
11.08.25	Torpedo Moscow - Spartak Kostroma	0:1 ✺
03.08.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Torpedo Moscow	1:0 ✺
27.07.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Torpedo Moscow	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.06.25	Spartak Moscow - Torpedo Moscow	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
06.04.25	Torpedo Moscow - Rotor	0:1
22.07.24	Rotor - Torpedo Moscow	1:1
16.04.22	Torpedo Moscow - Rotor	1:0
03.10.21	Rotor - Torpedo Moscow	1:1
31.08.19	Rotor - Torpedo Moscow	0:2
Club Friendly
06.07.18	Rotor - Torpedo Moscow	1:0
Russian FNL
20.04.14	Torpedo Moscow - Rotor	1:0

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