Match Info

FNL - Round 5

Date: 18 August 2025, Monday

Location: Arena Khimki (Khimki)


	Torpedo Moscow		Ural

	1	X	2
	3.18	3.1	2.45
	3.25	3.14	2.3	Watch
	2.97	3.17	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (3)	3.14 ↓ (3.2)	2.42 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torpedo Moscow
30.3%

Draw
30.3%

Ural
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

30%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torpedo Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Ural has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Torpedo Moscow - Ural Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Torpedo will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Ural will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Ural (2.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Torpedo (2.19) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ural will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Torpedo (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Ural (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Baburin E. (G) 17. Alykulov G. 19. Baytukov R. 4. Borodin S. 38. Chupayov A. 97. Curic M. 23. Danilin K. 15. Danilkin E. 8. Galoyan A. 27. Orekhov A. 99. Shevchenko G.	57. Selikhov A. (G) 13. Akbashev R. 5. Ayupov T. 4. Bardachev M. 2. Begic S. (C) 97. Ishkov I. 16. Italo 44. Malkevich V. 10. Sekulic M. 6. Sungatulin F. 14. Zheleznov Y.
Substitutes
9. Bakic D. 89. Chervyakov R. 84. Churilov V. 3. Ivankov A. 87. Kostin A. 5. Moskvichev V. 11. Shamkin D. 25. Soldatenko R. (G) 55. Stepanov D. 20. Sysoev E. 74. Volkov M. (G) 7. Yushin A.	37. Bondarev V. 24. Filipenko E. 7. Kashtanov A. 22. Leo Cordeiro 71. Mamin A. (G) 46. Mamin A. 34. Margasov T. 20. Markov E. 18. Morozov N. 42. Mosin E. 35. Prishchepa D. 50. Voronov M.
Coaches
Kononov O.	Romashchenko M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Ayupov T. 🟨,
43', Sungatulin F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, Danilin K. ⚽,
60', Baytukov R. 🟨,
60', Italo ↓, Prishchepa D. ↑,
63', Ayupov T. ↓, Voronov M. ↑,
64', Chupayov A. ↓, Bakic D. ↑,
64', Alykulov G. ↓, Churilov V. ↑,
75', Ishkov I. ↓, Mosin E. ↑,
75', Sungatulin F. ↓, Leo Cordeiro ↑,
76', Akbashev R. 🟨,
80', Sekulic M. ↓, Kashtanov A. ↑,
81', Galoyan A. ↓, Ivankov A. ↑,
87', Orekhov A. ↓, Moskvichev V. ↑,
90', Danilin K. ↓, Stepanov D. ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Arena Khimki.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torpedo won 0.

Ural is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Torpedo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Torpedo won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Torpedo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torpedo Moscow
Russian FNL
11.08.25	Torpedo Moscow - Spartak Kostroma	0:1 ✺
03.08.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Torpedo Moscow	1:0 ✺
27.07.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Torpedo Moscow	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.06.25	Spartak Moscow - Torpedo Moscow	3:1 ✺
Russian FNL
24.05.25	Torpedo Moscow - KAMAZ	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLT
- FK Ural
Russian FNL
10.08.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Ural	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Ural - Rodina Moscow	2:1 ✺
28.07.25	Ural - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	3:2 ✺
19.07.25	Shinnik - Ural	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Rubin Kazan - Ural	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
21.04.25	Torpedo Moscow - Ural	1:1
05.10.24	Ural - Torpedo Moscow	1:1
Russian Premier League
11.03.23	Torpedo Moscow - Ural	0:1
Russian Cup
26.11.22	Torpedo Moscow - Ural	1:2
28.09.22	Ural - Torpedo Moscow	1:0
Russian Premier League
11.09.22	Ural - Torpedo Moscow	2:0
23.05.15	Torpedo Moscow - Ural	3:1

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