Match Info

FNL - Round 8

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday

Location: Arena Khimki (Khimki)

Referee: Ziyakov R. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	MATCH! Planeta
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Torpedo Moscow		Spartak Kostroma

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	5.74
	1.65	3.45	5.95
	1.69	3.45	5.32	Watch
	1.7	3.25	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.92)	3.44 ↑ (3.32)	5.38 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torpedo Moscow
55.4%

Draw
27.2%

Spartak Kostroma
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

28.2%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

28.2%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torpedo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Torpedo Moscow's performance.

Spartak Kostroma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spartak Kostroma might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Moscow than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Torpedo Moscow that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Kostroma than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spartak Kostroma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Torpedo Moscow - Spartak Kostroma Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Torpedo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Torpedo Moscow will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Soldatenko R. (G) 99. Shevchenko G. 2. Bozov N. 4. Borodin S. 90. Roganovic B. 97. Curic M. 24. Pogosov A. 17. Berkovsky I. 10. Tsypchenko D. 11. Apekov R. 79. Kashtanov A.	50. Shamov E. (G) 6. Mohammadi N. 2. Tarasov N. 5. Zhilmostnykh D. 17. Kaptilovich D. 21. Bugarin M. 22. Nemchenko A. 47. Tarasov A. 3. Bugriev S. 10. Karaev D. 90. Kalmykov A.
Substitutes
8. Ajibona U. 84. Churilov V. 21. Galoyan A. 19. Isadibirov A. 3. Ivankov A. 44. Kornyushin D. 58. Ladokha D. (G) 48. Mokrousov S. (G) 27. Orekhov A. 7. Yushin A.	70. Chervyakov R. 69. Chursin K. 8. Demchenko N. 68. Gaydash M. (G) 11. Ghurtskaia D. 18. Kamilov V. 73. Kirakosyan D. 7. Malyarov K. 96. Mokhammad A. 82. Nikiforenko O. 66. Nikiforov M. 13. Rubtsov I.
Coaches
Storozhuk A.	Ashikhmin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Kashtanov A. ⚽,
10', 2 - 0, Kashtanov A. ⚽,
16', Tarasov A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kaptilovich D. ↓, Kamilov V. ↑,
46', Tarasov A. ↓, Malyarov K. ↑,
60', 3 - 0, Kashtanov A. ⚽,
64', Zhilmostnykh D. 🟨,
67', Nemchenko A. ↓, Kirakosyan D. ↑,
67', Mohammadi N. ↓, Nikiforenko O. ↑,
72', Pogosov A. 🟨,
74', Bugriev S. ↓, Nikiforov M. ↑,
75', Berkovsky I. ↓, Ajibona U. ↑,
81', Malyarov K. 🟨,
82', Pogosov A. ↓, Orekhov A. ↑,
82', Kashtanov A. ↓, Yushin A. ↑,
88', Shevchenko G. ↓, Kornyushin D. ↑,
88', Curic M. ↓, Churilov V. ↑,
90', 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).

In recent matches, Torpedo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Spartak Kostroma is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Torpedo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Torpedo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Torpedo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

S. Kostroma: 6.02% Torpedo Moscow: 5.22%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	S. Kostroma	12	7	3	2	16:10	6	24
6	Torpedo Moscow	12	6	3	3	21:9	12	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torpedo Moscow
Russian FNL
15.08.26	Chelyabinsk - Torpedo Moscow	0:4 ✺
08.08.26	Torpedo Moscow - Sochi	1:2 ✺
02.08.26	Arsenal Tula - Torpedo Moscow	1:0 ✺
26.07.26	Torpedo Moscow - Shinnik	1:1 ✺
19.07.26	Torpedo Moscow - Volga Ulyanovsk	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLTW
- Spartak Kostroma
Russian FNL
17.08.26	Spartak Kostroma - Ufa	1:1 ✺
09.08.26	SKA Khabarovsk - Spartak Kostroma	1:3 ✺
01.08.26	Spartak Kostroma - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:2 ✺
25.07.26	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Spartak Kostroma	0:0 ✺
19.07.26	Sochi - Spartak Kostroma	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
30.11.25	Spartak Kostroma - Torpedo Moscow	0:1
11.08.25	Torpedo Moscow - Spartak Kostroma	0:1

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