Match Info

FNL - Round 6

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday

Location: Volgograd Arena (Volgograd)

Referee: Kharitonov V. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	MATCH! Planeta
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Rotor		Ural

	1	X	2
	3.26	2.99	2.48
	3.15	2.9	2.4
	3.27	3.08	2.5	Watch
	2.95	2.9	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↓ (3.23)	2.97 ↑ (2.93)	2.42 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rotor
29.7%

Draw
31.6%

Ural
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

32%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

32.3%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rotor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Ural has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotor than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ural than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Rotor - Ural Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Chagrov N. (C) 25. Emerson 17. Pokidyshev N. 15. Danilkin E. 4. Yudintsev G. 8. Ayupov T. 5. Troshechkin A. 16. Poyarkov N. 10. Simonyan A. 9. Aliev S. 11. Eldarushev A.	57. Selikhov A. (G) 46. Mamin A. 15. Tikhiy D. 2. Begic S. 24. Korotkov A. 6. Sungatulin F. 44. Malkevich V. 22. Leo Cordeiro 19. Bayramyan K. (C) 11. Bokov D. 99. Fourrier B.
Substitutes
21. Gorelov P. 29. Khityaev A. 7. Khokhlachev A. 28. Khubulov A. 20. Litvenok I. (G) 12. Revazov A. 18. Rodionov I. 1. Sugrobov V. (G) 22. Tsaraev A. 6. Umnikov M.	37. Bondarev V. 97. Ishkov I. 17. Karapuzov V. 86. Kuznetsov I. (G) 18. Morozov N. 35. Prishchepa D. 10. Sekulic M. 43. Shoronov R.
Coaches
Parfenov D.	Yuran S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Simonyan A. ⚽,
34', Bayramyan K. ↓, Bondarev V. ↑,
37', Yudintsev G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Aliev S. ↓, Khubulov A. ↑,
57', Poyarkov N. 🟨,
59', 1 - 1, Fourrier B. ⚽,
59', Korotkov A. ↓, Karapuzov V. ↑,
59', Bokov D. ↓, Ishkov I. ↑,
59', Fourrier B. ↓, Sekulic M. ↑,
69', Simonyan A. ↓, Tsaraev A. ↑,
69', Eldarushev A. ↓, Khokhlachev A. ↑,
75', Emerson 🟥,
77', Khokhlachev A. 🟨,
78', Tsaraev A. ↓, Umnikov M. ↑,
90+4', Umnikov M. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rotor won 0.

Rotor has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ural is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Rotor won 0 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Rotor won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.3).

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

Ural: 7.82% R. Volgograd: 1.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Ural	12	7	4	1	20:6	14	25
8	R. Volgograd	12	5	2	5	20:14	6	17

Last Results with these Odds

Rotor - the odds 3.23 are the expected chance of winning is 29.06%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rotor Volgograd
Russian FNL
09.08.26	Rotor - Chelyabinsk	4:1 ✺
03.08.26	Veles Moscow - Rotor	2:1 ✺
27.07.26	KAMAZ - Rotor	0:2 ✺
20.07.26	Rotor - SKA Khabarovsk	1:0 ✺
12.07.26	Nizhny Novgorod - Rotor	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWWL
- FK Ural
Russian FNL
08.08.26	Ural - Ufa	3:0 ✺
02.08.26	SKA Khabarovsk - Ural	0:3 ✺
26.07.26	Leningradets - Ural	0:0 ✺
19.07.26	Ural - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	3:0 ✺
13.07.26	Ural - Torpedo Moscow	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
09.03.26	Rotor - Ural	1:1
20.09.25	Ural - Rotor	0:0
03.03.25	Rotor - Ural	0:0
07.09.24	Ural - Rotor	1:1
Russian Premier League
13.03.21	Ural - Rotor	1:0
22.11.20	Rotor - Ural	0:0
Russian FNL
25.03.13	Ural - Rotor	1:1

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