The best margin for this event is 10.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rubin Kazan U19 20.2%
Draw 21.2%
Spartak Moscow U19 58.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
20.9%
20.7%
58.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.4%
20.2%
57.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rubin Kazan U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
The chances for Spartak Moscow U19 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Kazan U19 than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow U19 than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (4 - 2)
49', 1 - 0, Khairullin B. ⚽,
60', 1 - 1, Zakharov N. ⚽,
63', 2 - 1, Gumerov R. ⚽,
69', 2 - 2, Prokopyev M. ⚽,
76', 3 - 2, ⚽,
80', 4 - 2, Linyuchev V. ⚽,
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 16th in the Relegation and 8th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rubin U19 won 0.
Rubin U19 is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Spartak U19 has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Spartak U19 carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Rubin U19 has recorded 1 win, 7 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:15 (averaging 0.8:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Rubin U19 against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals (averaging 0.4:0.6 per game).