Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 - Round 21

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Usa	09:00	SportsEngine Play


	Rubin Yalta		Druzhba Maykop

	1	X	2
	1.80	3.69	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.78)	3.69 ↑ (3.6)	3.95 ↓ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rubin Yalta
51.5%

Draw
25.1%

Druzhba Maykop
23.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.6%

25.5%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

24.7%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rubin Yalta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Druzhba Maykop has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Yalta than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Druzhba Maykop than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Rubin Yalta - Druzhba Maykop Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Biryukov E. ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, Biryukov E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
64', 3 - 0, Polyakh D. ⚽,
73', 3 - 1, Ashev A. ⚽,
90+3', 4 - 1, Biryukov E. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rubin Yalta won 1.

Rubin Yalta is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Druzhba's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Druzhba may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rubin Yalta is a strong favorite.

We predict that Rubin Yalta will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Rubin Yalta won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:15. (average 0.7:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Rubin Yalta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Rubin Yalta	27	13	7	7	40:27	13	46
6	Maykop	27	12	7	8	35:32	3	43

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rubin Yalta
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
22.08.26	Nart Cherkessk - Rubin Yalta	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Rubin Yalta - Neftyanik Izberbash	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Rubin Yalta - Angust Nazran	3:2 ✺
25.07.26	Spartak Nalchik - Rubin Yalta	1:1 ✺
04.07.26	Druzhba Maykop - Rubin Yalta	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWTT
- Druzhba Maykop
Russian Cup
26.08.26	Druzhba Maykop - Neftyanik Izberbash	2:1 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
22.08.26	Druzhba Maykop - Kyzyltash	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Chayka 2 - Druzhba Maykop	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
12.08.26	Angust Nazran - Druzhba Maykop	0:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
25.07.26	Druzhba Maykop - FC Sevastopol	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
04.07.26	Druzhba Maykop - Rubin Yalta	2:2
19.10.25	Rubin Yalta - Druzhba Maykop	1:2
09.08.25	Rubin Yalta - Druzhba Maykop	0:2
10.05.25	Druzhba Maykop - Rubin Yalta	4:0
26.10.24	Rubin Yalta - Druzhba Maykop	1:0
24.06.24	Druzhba Maykop - Rubin Yalta	3:0
29.07.23	Druzhba Maykop - Rubin Yalta	2:1

Rubin Yalta - Druzhba Maykop