Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 - Round 15

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday


	Druzhba Maykop		Rubin Yalta

	1	X	2
	1.47	4	6.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.73)	4 ↑ (3.48)	6.68 ↑ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Druzhba Maykop
63%

Draw
23.1%

Rubin Yalta
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

26.1%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

25.4%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Druzhba Maykop has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Druzhba Maykop's performance.

Rubin Yalta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rubin Yalta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Druzhba Maykop than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Druzhba Maykop that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Yalta than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rubin Yalta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Druzhba Maykop - Rubin Yalta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Delok A. ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, Konov A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 2 - 1, Shulga S. ⚽,
54', 2 - 2, Dzanelidze B. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Druzhba won 4.

Druzhba is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rubin Yalta's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Druzhba is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Druzhba won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:3. (average 2.2:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Druzhba won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 3:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Rubin Yalta	24	11	7	6	35:24	11	40
8	Maykop	24	10	6	8	30:29	1	36

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Druzhba Maykop
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
27.06.26	Kyzyltash - Druzhba Maykop	3:2 ✺
20.06.26	Druzhba Maykop - Chayka 2	3:0 ✺
13.06.26	Shakhtyor Taganrog - Druzhba Maykop	0:1 ✺
06.06.26	Druzhba Maykop - Dinskaya	4:0 ✺
30.05.26	FC Sevastopol - Druzhba Maykop	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 LWWWT
- Rubin Yalta
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
27.06.26	Rubin Yalta - Nart Cherkessk	1:2 ✺
20.06.26	Neftyanik Izberbash - Rubin Yalta	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Rubin Yalta - Dynamo Makhachkala 2	0:0 ✺
06.06.26	Angust Nazran - Rubin Yalta	0:1 ✺
30.05.26	Rubin Yalta - Spartak Nalchik	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
19.10.25	Rubin Yalta - Druzhba Maykop	1:2
09.08.25	Rubin Yalta - Druzhba Maykop	0:2
10.05.25	Druzhba Maykop - Rubin Yalta	4:0
26.10.24	Rubin Yalta - Druzhba Maykop	1:0
24.06.24	Druzhba Maykop - Rubin Yalta	3:0
29.07.23	Druzhba Maykop - Rubin Yalta	2:1

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