Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 - Round 23

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Avangard Stadium (Yalta)


	Rubin Yalta		Sochi 2

	1	X	2
	2.47	3.34	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.65)	3.34 ↑ (2.9)	2.47 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rubin Yalta
36.5%

Draw
27%

Sochi 2
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

31.4%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

30.3%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rubin Yalta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Sochi 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rubin Yalta than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sochi 2 than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Rubin Yalta - Sochi 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Dyachkov A. (G) 77. Bolgov N. 52. Glebov I. 48. Marchenko A. 15. Naniev A. 18. Panamarev N. 10. Papazyan S. 66. Polyakh D. 33. Purak V. 23. Shulga G. 22. Tarasenko M.	85. Silev D. (G) 80. Balkizov A. 83. Kalinov S. 87. Koshman A. 60. Nosatiy M. 78. Platonov P. 70. Sharipov S. 92. Shilov D. 94. Slepov M. 79. Totskiy E. 81. Yangaev A.
Substitutes
35. Balan Y. 7. Evloev I. 88. Koltakov A. 50. Naumenko S. (G) 11. Polshikov D. 19. Protsenko R. 25. Romashchuk I.	75. Chenchikov R. 95. Dys V. 74. Filimonov A. 66. Metsiev A. 63. Mkrtychyan A. 68. Prokopjev D. 91. Zavjalov N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Polyakh D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', Tarasenko M. 🟨,
53', Panamarev N. ↓, Evloev I. ↑,
67', 0 - 1, Shilov D. ⚽,
69', Polyakh D. ↓, Polshikov D. ↑,
70', Koshman A. 🟨,
75', Nosatiy M. 🟨,
79', Papazyan S. ↓, Koltakov A. ↑,
79', Nosatiy M. ↓, Metsiev A. ↑,
82', 0 - 2, Balkizov A. ⚽,
88', Sharipov S. ↓, Dys V. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 and 7).

Rubin Yalta has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sochi 2 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that Sochi 2 will win today's game, with odds of 2.47.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rubin Yalta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rubin Yalta
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
16.08.25	FC Sevastopol - Rubin Yalta	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Rubin Yalta - Druzhba Maykop	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Nart Cherkessk - Rubin Yalta	2:0 ✺
26.07.25	Rubin Yalta - Pobeda Khasavyurt	0:1 ✺
29.06.25	Rubin Yalta - Dynamo Stavropol	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FC Sochi 2
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
16.08.25	Sochi 2 - Astrakhan	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Angust Nazran - Sochi 2	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Sochi 2 - Legion Makhachkala	2:2 ✺
26.07.25	Spartak Nalchik - Sochi 2	2:2 ✺
05.07.25	Sochi 2 - Kuban-Kholding	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
24.05.25	Sochi 2 - Rubin Yalta	0:1

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