Match Info

UKRAINE: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 27

Date: 21 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Arena Lviv (Lviv)

Referee: Kozyryatsky M. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Unian TV


	Rukh Lviv		Lviv

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.8	7.25
	1.23	5.2	9.5
	1.49	4.03	7.69
	1.22	5	10
	1.43	4.2	8.1	Watch
	1.22	4.8	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.88)	4.67 ↑ (3.39)	9.09 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rukh Lviv
69.9%

Draw
19.9%

Lviv
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

27.7%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

25.5%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rukh Lviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rukh Lviv's performance.

Lviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lviv might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rukh Lviv than the current prediction. (-23.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rukh Lviv that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lviv than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lviv could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	0%	15.4%

Rukh Lviv - Lviv Predictions

Users Predictions: Rukh Lviv will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga).

Recent matches Rukh is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lviv has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Rukh is absolute favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rukh won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Rukh won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rukh Lviv
Ukrainian Premier League
14.05.23	Kryvbas - Rukh Lviv	1:0 ✺
08.05.23	Rukh Lviv - Inhulets	3:0 ✺
04.05.23	Kharkiv - Rukh Lviv	0:0 ✺
29.04.23	Rukh Lviv - Vorskla Poltava	1:1 ✺
24.04.23	Dnipro-1 - Rukh Lviv	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWTTL
- FC Lviv
Ukrainian Premier League
14.05.23	Lviv - Vorskla Poltava	0:2 ✺
07.05.23	Metalist Kharkiv - Lviv	1:0 ✺
03.05.23	Lviv - Oleksandriya	0:1 ✺
28.04.23	Veres Rivne - Lviv	3:2 ✺
23.04.23	Lviv - Kharkiv	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
10.11.22	Lviv - Rukh Lviv	2:1
Club Friendly
31.07.22	Rukh Lviv - Lviv	0:1
Ukrainian Premier League
29.08.21	Rukh Lviv - Lviv	1:0
28.04.21	Lviv - Rukh Lviv	1:1
03.10.20	Rukh Lviv - Lviv	0:0

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