Match Info

Date: 20 November 2020, Friday


	Rukh Lviv		Mariupol

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.25	3
	2.35	3.25	2.7
	2.35	3.05	2.88
	2.25	3.1	2.95
	2.28	3.39	3.22
	2.38	3.2	3
	2.28	3.3	3.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (3.12)	3.22 ↓ (3.3)	2.97 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rukh Lviv
40.1%

Draw
28.7%

Mariupol
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

28%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

20.7%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rukh Lviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rukh Lviv's performance.

Mariupol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mariupol might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rukh Lviv than the current prediction. (-18.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rukh Lviv that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariupol than the current prediction. (+26.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mariupol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rukh Lviv - Mariupol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Rukh is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Mariupol is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Mariupol have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rukh won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Rukh won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rukh Lviv
Ukrainian Premier League
08.11.20	Rukh Lviv - Inhulets	2:2 ✺
01.11.20	Mynai - Rukh Lviv	0:0 ✺
25.10.20	Zorya Luhansk - Rukh Lviv	4:0 ✺
17.10.20	Rukh Lviv - Dynamo Kyiv	0:2 ✺
03.10.20	Rukh Lviv - Lviv	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TTLLT
- FC Mariupol
Ukrainian Premier League
07.11.20	Olimpik Donetsk - Mariupol	3:3 ✺
30.10.20	Shakhtar Donetsk - Mariupol	4:1 ✺
25.10.20	Inhulets - Mariupol	1:1 ✺
17.10.20	Mynai - Mariupol	0:1 ✺
04.10.20	Kolos Kovalivka - Mariupol	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Cup
02.10.19	Rukh Lviv - Mariupol	0:1

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