Match Info

Premier League - Round 11

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Valerija Lobanovskoho (Kyiv)

Referee: Shurman D. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV
World	Onefootball


	Zorya Luhansk		Rukh Lviv

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.35
	2.02	3.26	3.92	Watch
	2.21	3.25	3.68	Watch
	1.87	3.14	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.02)	3.16 ↓ (3.26)	3.74 ↓ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zorya Luhansk
45.2%

Draw
29.7%

Rukh Lviv
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

29%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

28.6%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zorya Luhansk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Rukh Lviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zorya Luhansk than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rukh Lviv than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Zorya Luhansk - Rukh Lviv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Saputin O. (G) 23. Malysh N. 55. Jordan 5. Janjic A. 10. Juninho 77. Kushnirenko B. 7. Andjusic N. 6. Popara D. 9. Slesar A. 11. Gorbach I. 47. Vantukh R. (C)	1. Gereta Y. (G) 23. Kopyna Y. 92. Slyubyk B. 4. Kholod V. 93. Roman V. 15. Pidgurskyi D. (C) 10. Prytula O. 5. Edson Fernando 11. Runich V. 99. Faal B. 7. Klayver
Substitutes
21. Basic J. 28. Budkivsky P. 8. Dryshlyuk K. 4. Eskinja G. 24. Golovkin I. 31. Kosivskyi V. (G) 20. Matkevych A. 22. Micin P. 36. Ruan Oliveira 19. Salenko R. 99. Vakula V.	77. Almazbekov B. 56. Boyko M. 75. Kitela A. 28. Klymenko Y. (G) 47. Kvas K. 14. Kvasnytsya I. 8. Raileanu V. 63. Sapuga M. 17. Slyusar D.
Coaches
Skrypnyk V.	Fedyk I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Popara D. ⚽, Vantukh R. (A),
36', Prytula O. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Prytula O. ↓, Slyusar D. ↑,
63', Klayver ↓, Kvasnytsya I. ↑,
64', Popara D. ↓, Basic J. ↑,
64', Gorbach I. ↓, Salenko R. ↑,
71', Edson Fernando ↓, Sapuga M. ↑,
75', Malysh N. ↓, Ruan Oliveira ↑,
84', Pidgurskyi D. ↓, Raileanu V. ↑,
84', Runich V. ↓, Almazbekov B. ↑,
86', Slyusar D. 🟨,
90+4', Andjusic N. ↓, Budkivsky P. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zorya won 2.

Zorya has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rukh has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Rukh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Zorya is a strong favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Zorya won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Zorya won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:0. (average 2.3:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zorya Luhansk
Ukrainian Premier League
24.10.25	Veres Rivne - Zorya Luhansk	0:0 ✺
18.10.25	Zorya Luhansk - Dynamo Kyiv	1:1 ✺
03.10.25	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi - Zorya Luhansk	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Zorya Luhansk - Obolon	0:0 ✺
22.09.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - Zorya Luhansk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TTWTL
- Rukh Lviv
Ukrainian Cup
29.10.25	LNZ Cherkasy - Rukh Lviv	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
25.10.25	Karpaty Lviv - Rukh Lviv	0:0 ✺
18.10.25	Rukh Lviv - Kryvbas	1:2 ✺
03.10.25	Kolos Kovalivka - Rukh Lviv	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Rukh Lviv - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
02.03.25	Zorya Luhansk - Rukh Lviv	2:0
25.08.24	Rukh Lviv - Zorya Luhansk	3:0
04.12.23	Zorya Luhansk - Rukh Lviv	0:0
29.07.23	Rukh Lviv - Zorya Luhansk	2:1
02.04.23	Zorya Luhansk - Rukh Lviv	3:0
09.09.22	Rukh Lviv - Zorya Luhansk	3:1
Ukrainian Cup
28.10.21	Rukh Lviv - Zorya Luhansk	0:2 ET

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