Match Info

Premier League - Round 26

Date: 4 May 2026, Monday

Location: Arena Lviv (Lviv)

Referee: Kalionov O. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV
World	Onefootball


	Rukh Lviv		Zorya Luhansk

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.2	3.8	1.75
	4.05	3.6	1.8
	4.42	3.93	1.72
	4.12	3.7	1.87	Watch
	4.2	3.6	1.75
	4.36	3.96	1.76	Watch
	3.35	3.15	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.1 ↑ (4.08)	3.68 (3.68)	1.81 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rukh Lviv
22.8%

Draw
25.5%

Zorya Luhansk
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

25.8%

50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

25.4%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rukh Lviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Zorya Luhansk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rukh Lviv than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zorya Luhansk than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Rukh Lviv - Zorya Luhansk Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Zorya Luhansk will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Zorya Luhansk will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gereta Y. (G) 93. Roman V. 17. Slyusar D. 76. Tovarnytskyi O. 75. Kitela A. 56. Boyko M. 77. Almazbekov B. 10. Prytula O. (C) 30. Talles Brener 14. Diallo S. 9. Neves I.	1. Saputin O. (G) 23. Malysh N. 55. Jordan 4. Eskinja G. 10. Juninho 77. Kushnirenko B. 9. Slesar A. 6. Popara D. 88. Bah S. 47. Vantukh R. 28. Budkivsky P. (C)
Substitutes
70. Kasarda N. 28. Klymenko Y. (G) 23. Kopyna Y. 47. Kvas K. 95. Kyrykovych B. 25. Levytskyi B. 65. Sebro D. 21. Tutti 79. Yasinsky V.	21. Basic J. 73. Chudasa V. 8. Dryshlyuk K. 11. Gorbach I. 5. Janjic A. 27. Jelavic D. 31. Kosivskyi V. (G) 22. Micin P. 44. Perduta I. 70. Verley R. 17. Zadorozhnyi F.
Coaches
Fedyk I.	Skrypnyk V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Juninho 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Neves I. ⚽, Prytula O. (A),
23', Roman V. 🟨,
28', Jordan 🟨,
29', Juninho ↓, Perduta I. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Bah S. ↓, Micin P. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Popara D. ⚽,
66', Malysh N. ↓, Gorbach I. ↑,
68', Popara D. 🟨,
78', Neves I. ↓, Tutti ↑,
78', Almazbekov B. ↓, Kopyna Y. ↑,
83', Diallo S. ↓, Sebro D. ↑,
85', 1 - 2, Budkivsky P. ⚽, Perduta I. (A),
90', Kushnirenko B. ↓, Basic J. ↑,
90', Popara D. ↓, Dryshlyuk K. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rukh won 2.

Rukh is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Zorya has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rukh may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Zorya is the team to beat.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Rukh won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Rukh won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	FK Zorya Luhansk	7	2	2	3	7:11	-4	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rukh Lviv
Ukrainian Premier League
25.04.26	Rukh Lviv - Karpaty Lviv	0:3 ✺
19.04.26	Kryvbas - Rukh Lviv	3:0 ✺
10.04.26	Rukh Lviv - Kolos Kovalivka	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Rukh Lviv	3:0 ✺
21.03.26	Rukh Lviv - LNZ Cherkasy	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTLL
- Zorya Luhansk
Ukrainian Premier League
27.04.26	Zorya Luhansk - Veres Rivne	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Zorya Luhansk - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:2 ✺
17.04.26	Dynamo Kyiv - Zorya Luhansk	3:1 ✺
12.04.26	Zorya Luhansk - Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Obolon - Zorya Luhansk	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
02.11.25	Zorya Luhansk - Rukh Lviv	1:0
02.03.25	Zorya Luhansk - Rukh Lviv	2:0
25.08.24	Rukh Lviv - Zorya Luhansk	3:0
04.12.23	Zorya Luhansk - Rukh Lviv	0:0
29.07.23	Rukh Lviv - Zorya Luhansk	2:1
02.04.23	Zorya Luhansk - Rukh Lviv	3:0
09.09.22	Rukh Lviv - Zorya Luhansk	3:1

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